Luxembourg vs Bulgaria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bulgaria would win this match.