UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Oct 12, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadion Hristo Botev

Bulgaria
0 - 0
Luxembourg

Kolev (4'), Antov (20'), Petkov (45'), Atanasov (51'), Nurnberger (60'), Kostadinov (64')

Curci (18'), da Graca (28'), Martins Pereira (36'), Carlson (38'), Bohnert (51'), Rodrigues (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Bulgaria and Luxembourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bulgaria

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Bulgaria 1-0 N. Ireland
Sunday, September 8 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Northern Ireland	0	0	0
2	Bulgaria	0	0	0
3	Luxembourg	0	0	0
4	Belarus	0	0	0

Luxembourg

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Luxembourg 0-1 Belarus
Sunday, September 8 at 2pm in Nations League

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Northern Ireland	0	0	0
2	Bulgaria	0	0	0
3	Luxembourg	0	0	0
4	Belarus	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 58.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 17.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Bulgaria	Draw	Luxembourg
58.47% ( 0.08)	24.47% ( -0.02)	17.06% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 42.64% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.76% (

-0)

57.24% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.92% (

-0)

78.08% (

0.01)

Bulgaria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.52% (

0.03)

19.48% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.66% (

0.05)

51.34% (

-0.04)

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.95% (

-0.07)

47.05% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.47% (

-0.05)

82.53% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Bulgaria 58.46%

Luxembourg 17.06%

Draw 24.47%

Bulgaria	Draw	Luxembourg
1-0 @ 14.99% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 12.26% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0) Other @ 3.54% Total : 58.46%	1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.16% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.52% Total : 24.47%	0-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 17.06%