Nations League
Oct 12, 2024 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Hristo Botev
  • Aleksandar Kolev 4' yellowcard
  • Valentin Antov 20' yellowcard
  • Alex Petkov 45' yellowcard
  • Zhivko Atanasov 51' yellowcard
  • Fabian Nurnberger 60' yellowcard
  • Georgi Kostadinov 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alessio Curci 18'
  • yellowcard Marvin da Graca 28'
  • yellowcard Christopher Martins Pereira 36'
  • yellowcard Dirk Carlson 38'
  • yellowcard Florian Bohnert 51'
  • yellowcard Gerson Rodrigues 64'

Bulgaria vs Luxembourg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bulgaria

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 8, 2024 5.00pm
Bulgaria 1 - 0 N. Ireland

Luxembourg

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 8, 2024 2.00pm
Luxembourg 0 - 1 Belarus

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 58.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 17.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result

Bulgaria 58.47% (+0.08)
Draw 24.47% (-0.02)
Luxembourg 17.06% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.64% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.76% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 57.24% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 21.92% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 78.08% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 9.46% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 90.54% (+0.01)

Bulgaria Goals

Over 0.5 80.52% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 19.48% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 48.66% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 51.34% (-0.05)

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5 52.95% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 47.05% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 17.47% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 82.53% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Bulgaria 58.46%
Draw 24.47%
Luxembourg 17.06%
Bulgaria
1-0 @ 14.99% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 12.26% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.69% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.04% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.74% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.06% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 58.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.16% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.49% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 24.47%
Luxembourg
0-1 @ 6.91% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 4.26% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.61% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 17.06%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Nov 20, 2022 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Josy Barthel
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Oct 10, 2017 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Olivier Thill 3' goal
  • goal Ivailo Chochev 68'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Sep 6, 2016 7.45pm
4
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Dimitar Rangelov 16' goal
  • Marcelino 65' goal
  • Ivelin Popov 79' goal
  • Aleksandar Tonev 92' goal
  • goal Aurelien Joachim 60'
  • goal Aurelien Joachim 62'
  • goal Florian Bohnert 91'