We said: Slovakia 1-2 Sweden
Clearly the best two teams in their League C group, these sides could play out a close-fought contest - albeit both will be badly hampered by injuries.
Sweden are still searching for identity under new management, but they possess enough attacking talent to beat Slovakia and go clear of the pack with maximum points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 58.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 20.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Sweden win it was 1-2 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.