UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Oct 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Tehelne pole

Slovakia
2 - 2
Sweden

Strelec (44', 72')
Vavro (18'), Suslov (51'), Duda (61'), Gyomber (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Ayari (25'), Sema (32')
Douglas (40'), Karlstrom (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Slovakia and Sweden, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovakia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Slovakia 2-0 Azerbaijan
Sunday, September 8 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League C1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Estonia	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Sweden

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Sweden 3-0 Estonia
Sunday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Estonia	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 58.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 20.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Sweden win it was 1-2 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Slovakia	Draw	Sweden
58.01% ( -0.85)	21.65% ( 0.36)	20.33% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 56.73% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.66% (

-0.92)

41.34% (

0.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.26% (

-0.94)

63.73% (

0.94)

Slovakia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86% (

-0.56)

13.99% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.48% (

-1.11)

41.51% (

1.11)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.96% (

-0.04)

34.04% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.28% (

-0.05)

70.72% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Slovakia 58.01%

Sweden 20.33%

Draw 21.64%

Slovakia	Draw	Sweden
2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.14% Total : 58.01%	1-1 @ 10.09% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.64%	1-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.13% Total : 20.33%