Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 58.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 20.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Sweden win it was 1-2 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.