Nations League | League C
Sep 5, 2024 at 5pm UK
Tofiq Bahramov adina Respublika stadionu (Baki (Baku))
Azerbaijan1 - 3Sweden
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Azerbaijan 3-2 Kazakhstan
Tuesday, June 11 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, June 11 at 3pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Belgium | 8 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | Austria | 8 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Sweden | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 8 | -10 | 7 |
| 5 | Estonia | 8 | -20 | 1 |
Last Game: Sweden 0-3 Serbia
Saturday, June 8 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Saturday, June 8 at 5pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Belgium | 8 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | Austria | 8 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Sweden | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 8 | -10 | 7 |
| 5 | Estonia | 8 | -20 | 1 |
We said: Azerbaijan 1-2 Sweden
After beating Thursday's visitors 3-0 recently, Azerbaijan will be confident of repeating the trick in the Nations League this time around. That being said, the Blue and Yellow are a different beast now and should have enough quality in attacking areas to secure an opening-round victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 51.96%. A win for Sweden had a probability of 24.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Azerbaijan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Sweden win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Azerbaijan | Draw | Sweden |
51.96% ( 1.13) | 23.12% ( -0.52) | 24.93% ( -0.6) |
| Both teams to score 57.88% ( 1.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
