Friendlies 2

Jun 11, 2024 at 3pm UK

Baki Olimpiya Stadionu

Azerbaijan
3 - 2
Kazakhstan

Madatov (42'), Mahmudov (51' pen.), Bayramov (73')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Vorogovskiy (2'), Samorodov (28')
Kassym (71'), Kuat (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Azerbaijan

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Albania 3-1 Azerbaijan
Friday, June 7 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Belgium	8	18	20
2	Austria	8	10	19
3	Sweden	8	2	10
4	Azerbaijan	8	-10	7
5	Estonia	8	-20	1

Kazakhstan

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Armenia 2-1 Kazakhstan
Friday, June 7 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Slovenia	10	11	22
2	Denmark	10	9	22
3	Finland	10	8	18
4	Kazakhstan	10	4	18
5	Northern Ireland	10	-4	9
6	San Marino	10	-28	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 59.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 17.31%.

The most likely scoreline for an Azerbaijan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Azerbaijan would win this match.

Result
Azerbaijan	Draw	Kazakhstan
59.23% ( 3.23)	23.46% ( -1.08)	17.31% ( -2.14)

Both teams to score 45.77% (

-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.73% (

1.21)

53.27% (

-1.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.18% (

1.02)

74.82% (

-1.01)

Azerbaijan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.29% (

1.66)

17.7% (

-1.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.64% (

2.8)

48.36% (

-2.79)

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.62% (

-1.83)

44.38% (

1.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.56% (

-1.53)

80.44% (

1.53)

Score Analysis

Azerbaijan 59.22%

Kazakhstan 17.31%

Draw 23.46%

Azerbaijan	Draw	Kazakhstan
1-0 @ 13.6% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.67) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.72) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.33) 4-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.45) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.4% Total : 59.22%	1-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.5) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.66% Total : 23.46%	0-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.66) 1-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.45) 0-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.42) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.58% Total : 17.31%