Azerbaijan

3 - 2

Kazakhstan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 59.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 17.31%.

The most likely scoreline for an Azerbaijan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Azerbaijan would win this match.