MX23RW : Sunday, June 16 15:08:09| >> :60:315:315:
Azerbaijan national football team
Friendlies 2
Jun 11, 2024 at 3pm UK
Baki Olimpiya Stadionu
Kazakhstan national football team

Azerbaijan
3 - 2
Kazakhstan

Madatov (42'), Mahmudov (51' pen.), Bayramov (73')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Vorogovskiy (2'), Samorodov (28')
Kassym (71'), Kuat (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Albania 3-1 Azerbaijan
Friday, June 7 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Belgium81820
2Austria81019
3Sweden8210
4Azerbaijan8-107
5Estonia8-201
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Armenia 2-1 Kazakhstan
Friday, June 7 at 5pm in International Friendlies

We said: Azerbaijan 1-1 Kazakhstan

There has not actually been a draw between these two sides since September 2006, with their last six meetings producing a winner. It would not be a surprise to see a home or an away success here, but we are predicting a low-scoring draw on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 59.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 17.31%.

The most likely scoreline for an Azerbaijan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Azerbaijan would win this match.

Result
AzerbaijanDrawKazakhstan
59.23% (3.228 3.23) 23.46% (-1.082 -1.08) 17.31% (-2.142 -2.14)
Both teams to score 45.77% (-0.555 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.73% (1.21 1.21)53.27% (-1.206 -1.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.18% (1.017 1.02)74.82% (-1.013 -1.01)
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29% (1.66 1.66)17.7% (-1.656 -1.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.64% (2.795 2.8)48.36% (-2.792 -2.79)
Kazakhstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.62% (-1.831 -1.83)44.38% (1.834 1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.56% (-1.525 -1.53)80.44% (1.529 1.53)
Score Analysis
    Azerbaijan 59.22%
    Kazakhstan 17.31%
    Draw 23.46%
AzerbaijanDrawKazakhstan
1-0 @ 13.6% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 11.77% (0.67 0.67)
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-0 @ 6.8% (0.719 0.72)
3-1 @ 5.52% (0.328 0.33)
4-0 @ 2.94% (0.447 0.45)
4-1 @ 2.39% (0.258 0.26)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.024 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.02% (0.2 0.2)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 59.22%
1-1 @ 11.05% (-0.5 -0.5)
0-0 @ 7.86% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-2 @ 3.89% (-0.168 -0.17)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 23.46%
0-1 @ 6.38% (-0.656 -0.66)
1-2 @ 4.49% (-0.449 -0.45)
0-2 @ 2.59% (-0.415 -0.42)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.192 -0.19)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 17.31%

How you voted: Azerbaijan vs Kazakhstan

Azerbaijan
60.3%
Draw
22.1%
Kazakhstan
17.6%
68
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2022 5pm
League C
Azerbaijan
3-0
Kazakhstan
Marochkin (67' og.), Ozobic (74'), Nuriev (90+1')
Jun 3, 2022 3pm
League C
Kazakhstan
2-0
Azerbaijan
Aymbetov (50', 60')
Marochkin (36'), Akhmetov (38'), Kuat (90+4')

Silvestre (90+2')
Jun 5, 2018 3pm
International Friendlies
Kazakhstan
3-0
Azerbaijan
Murtazayev (13'), Muzhikov (14'), Zainutdinov (90')
Tunggyshbayev (48'), Zhukov (90')

Khalilzade (35')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 Austria Austria00000
3 France France00000
4 Poland Poland10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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