International Friendlies
Jun 7, 2024 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht
  • Aleksandr Marochkin 4' goal
  • Vahan Bichakhchyan 58' goal
  • goal Bauyrzhan Islamkhan 90'+6'

Armenia vs Kazakhstan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Armenia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 22, 2024 4.00pm
Armenia 0 - 1 Kosovo

Kazakhstan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 26, 2024 7.45pm
Luxembourg 2 - 1 Kazakhstan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Armenia win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Armenia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Kazakhstan win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Armenia in this match.

Result

Armenia 40.56% (+1.26)
Draw 25.04% (-0.44)
Kazakhstan 34.4% (-0.83)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.26% (+1.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.84% (+1.82)
Under 2.5 46.16% (-1.82)
Over 3.5 31.55% (+1.70)
Under 3.5 68.45% (-1.70)
Over 4.5 15.75% (+1.19)
Under 4.5 84.25% (-1.19)

Armenia Goals

Over 0.5 77.35% (+1.45)
Under 0.5 22.65% (-1.44)
Over 1.5 43.71% (+2.10)
Under 1.5 56.29% (-2.10)

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5 74.03% (+0.38)
Under 0.5 25.97% (-0.38)
Over 1.5 39.02% (+0.51)
Under 1.5 60.98% (-0.51)

Score analysis

Armenia 40.56%
Draw 25.04%
Kazakhstan 34.4%
Armenia
2-1 @ 8.74% (+0.17)
1-0 @ 8.74% (-0.30)
2-0 @ 6.49% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 4.33% (+0.26)
3-0 @ 3.21% (+0.17)
3-2 @ 2.92% (+0.21)
4-1 @ 1.61% (+0.16)
4-0 @ 1.19% (+0.11)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-95.52)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 40.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.77% (-0.29)
2-2 @ 5.9% (+0.18)
0-0 @ 5.88% (-0.47)
3-3 @ 1.31% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.04%
Kazakhstan
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.10)
0-1 @ 7.93% (-0.54)
0-2 @ 5.35% (-0.30)
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.65% (+0.11)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.11)
1-4 @ 1.2% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 34.4%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Mar 30, 2020 3.00pm
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Oct 8, 2017 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Baurzhan Turysbek 62' goal
  • goal Henrik Mkhitaryan 26'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Mar 26, 2017 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 73' goal
  • Aras Ozbiliz 75' goal