Friendlies 2

Jun 7, 2024 at 5pm UK

Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht

Armenia
2 - 1
Kazakhstan

Marochkin (4' og.), Bichakhchyan (58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Islamkhan (90+6' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Armenia and Kazakhstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Armenia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Slovenia 2-1 Armenia
Tuesday, June 4 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	8	7	17
2	Croatia	8	9	16
3	Wales	8	0	12
4	Armenia	8	-2	8
5	Latvia	8	-14	3

Kazakhstan

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Luxembourg 2-1 Kazakhstan
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Slovenia	10	11	22
2	Denmark	10	9	22
3	Finland	10	8	18
4	Kazakhstan	10	4	18
5	Northern Ireland	10	-4	9
6	San Marino	10	-28	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Armenia win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Armenia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Kazakhstan win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Armenia in this match.

Result
Armenia	Draw	Kazakhstan
40.56% ( 1.26)	25.04% ( -0.44)	34.4% ( -0.82)

Both teams to score 57.26% (

1.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.84% (

1.82)

46.16% (

-1.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.55% (

1.69)

68.45% (

-1.69)

Armenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.35% (

1.44)

22.65% (

-1.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.71% (

2.09)

56.29% (

-2.09)

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.03% (

0.38)

25.97% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.02% (

0.51)

60.98% (

-0.51)

Score Analysis

Armenia 40.56%

Kazakhstan 34.4%

Draw 25.04%

Armenia	Draw	Kazakhstan
2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.26% Total : 40.56%	1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.47) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.04%	1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.53) 0-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.36% Total : 34.4%