Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 79.39%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 6.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.3%) and 3-0 (12.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sweden in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sweden.