UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Sep 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Friends Arena

Sweden
3 - 0
Estonia

Gyokeres (30', 44'), Isak (40')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Palumets (50'), Tamm (89')
Palumets (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Sweden and Estonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Azerbaijan 1-3 Sweden
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in Nations League

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Belgium	8	18	20
2	Austria	8	10	19
3	Sweden	8	2	10
4	Azerbaijan	8	-10	7
5	Estonia	8	-20	1

Estonia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Estonia 0-1 Slovakia
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Belgium	8	18	20
2	Austria	8	10	19
3	Sweden	8	2	10
4	Azerbaijan	8	-10	7
5	Estonia	8	-20	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 79.39%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 6.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.3%) and 3-0 (12.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sweden in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sweden.

Result
Sweden	Draw	Estonia
79.39% ( -0.07)	14.28% ( 0.02)	6.33% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 38.25% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.46% (

0.11)

42.54% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.05% (

0.11)

64.94% (

-0.11)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.35% (

0.01)

8.65% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.17% (

0.02)

29.82% (

-0.02)

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

41.88% (

0.23)

58.12% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.34% (

0.12)

89.66% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Sweden 79.37%

Estonia 6.33%

Draw 14.28%

Sweden	Draw	Estonia
2-0 @ 15.05% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 12.3% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 12.28% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.5% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 79.37%	1-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.36% Total : 14.28%	0-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.79% Total : 6.33%