Nations League
Sep 8, 2024 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Friends Arena
  • Viktor Gyokeres 30' goal
  • Alexander Isak 40' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 44' goal
  • yellowcard Kevor Palumets 50'
  • redcard Kevor Palumets 62'
  • yellowcard Alex Tamm 89'

Sweden vs Estonia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 5, 2024 5.00pm
Azerbaijan 1 - 3 Sweden

Estonia

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 5, 2024 7.45pm
Estonia 0 - 1 Slovakia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 79.39%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 6.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.3%) and 3-0 (12.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sweden in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sweden.

Result

Sweden 79.39% (-0.08)
Draw 14.28% (+0.03)
Estonia 6.33% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.25% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.46% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 42.54% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 35.05% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 64.94% (-0.12)
Over 4.5 18.31% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 81.69% (-0.09)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5 91.35% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 8.65% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 70.17% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 29.82% (-0.03)

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5 41.88% (+0.23)
Under 0.5 58.12% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 10.34% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 89.66% (-0.13)

Score analysis

Sweden 79.37%
Draw 14.28%
Estonia 6.33%
Sweden
2-0 @ 15.05% (-0.07)
1-0 @ 12.3% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 12.28% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.17% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 7.52% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.67% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 4.08% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 3.68% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 2% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.81% (+0.03)
6-0 @ 1.5% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 79.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.68% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.03% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 2.22% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 14.28%
Estonia
0-1 @ 2.73% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 1.81% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 6.33%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jan 12, 2024 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Paphiako Athlitiko Kentro
  • Sebastian Nanasi 30' goal
  • Anton Eriksson 39' yellowcard
  • Isaac Kiese Thelin 53' goal
  • goal Kevor Palumets 19'
  • yellowcard Nikita Mihhailov 35'
  • yellowcard Karl Andre Vallner 84'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Nov 19, 2023 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Friends Arena
  • Viktor Claesson 22' goal
  • Emil Forsberg 55' goal
  • Filip Helander 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marten Kuusk 69'
  • yellowcard Markus Poom 90'+1'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Sep 9, 2023 5.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 3
FT A. Le Coq Arena
  • Karol Mets 14' yellowcard
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 18'
  • yellowcard Isak Hien 21'
  • goal Dejan Kulusevski 24'
  • goal Alexander Isak 39'
  • goal Robin Quaison 75'
  • goal Viktor Claesson 90'+2'
International Friendlies
Mar 31, 2021 4.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Marcus Berg 4' goal
  • Ken Sema 61' yellowcard
  • Mattias Svanberg 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robert Kirss 52'
  • yellowcard Henrik Purg 73'
  • yellowcard Henri Anier 76'