We said: Estonia 0-2 Slovakia
Despite recent success in friendly matches, Estonia have not performed on the competitive stage for a while and could struggle in Tallinn on Thursday night.
Slovakia competed against some of Europe's elite sides over the summer, meaning that they should have no issues easing past the Blueshirts during a Nations League opener.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Estonia had a probability of 27.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Estonia win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Slovakia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Slovakia.
-0.41) 
0.65) 
