UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Sep 8, 2024 at 5pm UK

Dnipro Arena

Slovakia
2 - 0
Azerbaijan

Duda (23' pen.), Strelec (26')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Seydiyev (15'), Cafarquliyev (37'), Bayramov (42'), Aliyev (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Slovakia and Azerbaijan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovakia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Estonia 0-1 Slovakia
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	3	1	4
2	Belgium	3	1	4
3	Slovakia	3	0	4
4	Ukraine	3	-2	4

Azerbaijan

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Azerbaijan 1-3 Sweden
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in Nations League

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Belgium	8	18	20
2	Austria	8	10	19
3	Sweden	8	2	10
4	Azerbaijan	8	-10	7
5	Estonia	8	-20	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 75.98%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 8.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.23%) and 3-0 (10.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 0-1 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Slovakia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Slovakia.

Result
Slovakia	Draw	Azerbaijan
75.98% ( -0.14)	15.64% ( 0.04)	8.38% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 44.01% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.05% (

0.19)

40.95% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.66% (

0.19)

63.34% (

-0.19)

Slovakia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.92% (

0.01)

9.07% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.15% (

0.03)

30.85% (

-0.03)

Azerbaijan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.41% (

0.37)

51.59% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.26% (

0.24)

85.73% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Slovakia 75.96%

Azerbaijan 8.38%

Draw 15.64%

Slovakia	Draw	Azerbaijan
2-0 @ 13.47% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 10.78% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.49% Total : 75.96%	1-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.58% Total : 15.64%	0-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.8% Total : 8.38%