Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 75.98%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 8.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.23%) and 3-0 (10.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 0-1 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Slovakia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Slovakia.