International Friendlies
Mar 22, 2025 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de Luxembourg
  • Seid Korac 23' goal
  • Laurent Jans 31' yellowcard
  • Dirk Carlson 74' yellowcard
  • Alessio Curci 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jesper Karlstrom 43'

Luxembourg vs Sweden - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Luxembourg

All competitions

Sweden

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Luxembourg had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.41%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Luxembourg win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result

Luxembourg 28.02% (-0.65)
Draw 24.27% (+0.09)
Sweden 47.71% (+0.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.81% (-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.62% (-0.78)
Under 2.5 45.38% (+0.78)
Over 3.5 32.29% (-0.75)
Under 3.5 67.71% (+0.75)
Over 4.5 16.28% (-0.54)
Under 4.5 83.72% (+0.54)

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5 70.24% (-0.86)
Under 0.5 29.76% (+0.86)
Over 1.5 34.17% (-1.05)
Under 1.5 65.82% (+1.05)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5 80.88% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 19.12% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 49.24% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 50.75% (+0.13)

Score analysis

Luxembourg 28.02%
Draw 24.27%
Sweden 47.71%
Luxembourg
2-1 @ 6.92% (-0.12)
1-0 @ 6.9% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 4.18% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.12)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 1.69% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 28.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.41% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.12)
0-0 @ 5.69% (+0.19)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.27%
Sweden
1-2 @ 9.44% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 9.41% (+0.29)
0-2 @ 7.79% (+0.22)
1-3 @ 5.21% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.29% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.07)
1-4 @ 2.15%
0-4 @ 1.78% (+0.05)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 47.71%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Oct 7, 2017 5.00pm
8
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Andreas Granqvist 10' goal
  • Marcus Berg 18' goal
  • Marcus Berg 37' goal
  • Marcus Berg 54' goal
  • Mikael Lustig 60' goal
  • Andreas Granqvist 67' goal
  • Marcus Berg 71' goal
  • Ola Toivonen 76' goal
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Oct 7, 2016 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Mikael Lustig 58'