Friendlies 1

Mar 22, 2025 at 5pm UK

Stade de Luxembourg

Luxembourg
1 - 0
Sweden

Korac (23')
Jans (31'), Carlson (74'), Curci (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Karlstrom (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Luxembourg and Sweden, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luxembourg

All competitions

Last Game: Luxembourg 2-2 N. Ireland
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Northern Ireland	0	0	0
2	Bulgaria	0	0	0
3	Luxembourg	0	0	0
4	Belarus	0	0	0

Sweden

All competitions

Last Game: Sweden 6-0 Azerbaijan
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Estonia	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Luxembourg had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.41%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Luxembourg win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Luxembourg	Draw	Sweden
28.02% ( -0.64)	24.27% ( 0.08)	47.71% ( 0.56)

Both teams to score 56.81% (

-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.62% (

-0.77)

45.38% (

0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.29% (

-0.74)

67.71% (

0.74)

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.24% (

-0.85)

29.76% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.17% (

-1.05)

65.82% (

1.05)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.88% (

-0.08)

19.12% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.24% (

-0.13)

50.75% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Luxembourg 28.02%

Sweden 47.71%

Draw 24.27%

Luxembourg	Draw	Sweden
2-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.23% Total : 28.02%	1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.27%	1-2 @ 9.44% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 5.21% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.15% 0-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.19% Total : 47.71%