UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Nov 19, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Friends Arena

Sweden
6 - 0
Azerbaijan

Kulusevski (10', 57'), Gyokeres (26', 37', 58', 70')
Gudmundsson (60')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Krivotsyuk (23'), Seydiyev (54'), Diniyev (57'), Mustafazada (73'), Bayramov (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Sweden and Azerbaijan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Sweden 2-1 Slovakia
Saturday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Estonia	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Azerbaijan

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Azerbaijan 0-0 Estonia
Saturday, November 16 at 2pm in Nations League

Current League C1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Estonia	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 82.47%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 5.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.52%) and 1-0 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.53%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 0-1 (1.92%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.

Result
Sweden	Draw	Azerbaijan
82.47% ( -0.04)	11.69% ( 0.03)	5.84% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 45.7% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.66% (

-0.09)

31.33% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.21% (

-0.11)

52.78% (

0.11)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.37% (

-0.03)

5.62% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.2% (

-0.07)

21.8% (

0.07)

Azerbaijan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.42% (

-0.04)

51.57% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.27% (

-0.03)

85.72% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Sweden 82.46%

Azerbaijan 5.84%

Draw 11.69%

Sweden	Draw	Azerbaijan
2-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 11.52% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.63% ( -0) 4-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0) 6-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 7-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.14% Total : 82.46%	1-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 2.63% ( -0) Other @ 0.63% Total : 11.69%	0-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.83% ( 0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 5.84%