UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Oct 14, 2024 at 5pm UK

Ədliyya stadionu

Azerbaijan
1 - 3
Slovakia

Bayramov (38')
Madatov (45'), Aliyev (61')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mammadov (15' og.), Haraslin (75'), Duris (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Azerbaijan and Slovakia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Azerbaijan

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Estonia 3-1 Azerbaijan
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League C1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Estonia	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Slovakia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Slovakia 2-2 Sweden
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Estonia	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Azerbaijan win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovakia would win this match.

Result
Azerbaijan	Draw	Slovakia
30.41% ( 0.08)	25.04% ( 0.04)	44.55% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 55.78% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.57% (

-0.12)

47.43% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.36% (

-0.11)

69.64% (

0.12)

Azerbaijan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.89% (

-0.01)

29.11% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.96% (

-0.01)

65.04% (

0.02)

Slovakia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.69% (

-0.1)

21.31% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.74% (

-0.16)

54.26% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Azerbaijan 30.41%

Slovakia 44.55%

Draw 25.03%

Azerbaijan	Draw	Slovakia
1-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 30.41%	1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.03%	0-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 44.55%