Nations League
Oct 14, 2024 5.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Ədliyya stadionu
  • Tural Bayramov 38' goal
  • Mahir Madatov 45' yellowcard
  • Qismat Aliyev 61' yellowcard
  • Mahir Madatov 70' redcard
  • goal Rahil Mammadov 15' (OG)
  • goal Lukas Haraslin 75'
  • goal David Duris 87'

Azerbaijan vs Slovakia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Azerbaijan

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Oct 11, 2024 5.00pm
Estonia 3 - 1 Azerbaijan

Slovakia

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Oct 11, 2024 7.45pm
Slovakia 2 - 2 Sweden

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Azerbaijan win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovakia would win this match.

Result

Azerbaijan 30.41% (+0.08)
Draw 25.04% (+0.04)
Slovakia 44.55% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.78% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.57% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 47.43% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 30.36% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 69.64% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 14.92% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 85.08% (+0.09)

Azerbaijan Goals

Over 0.5 70.89% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 29.11% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 34.96% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 65.04% (+0.03)

Slovakia Goals

Over 0.5 78.69% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 21.31% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 45.74% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 54.26% (+0.17)

Score analysis

Azerbaijan 30.41%
Draw 25.03%
Slovakia 44.55%
Azerbaijan
1-0 @ 7.66% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 7.3% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.72% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.94% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 30.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.2% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.03%
Slovakia
0-1 @ 9.59% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 9.15% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.41% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.71% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.82% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 44.55%

Head to Head

Nations League
Sep 8, 2024 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Dnipro Arena
  • Ondrej Duda 23' goal
  • David Strelec 26' goal
  • yellowcard Amin Seydiyev 15'
  • yellowcard Elvin Cafarquliyev 37'
  • yellowcard Tural Bayramov 42'
  • yellowcard Sahriyar Aliyev 90'+1'
Nations League
Sep 22, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Erik Jirka 90'+3' goal
  • goal Renat Dadasov 44'
  • goal Hojjat Haghverdi 90'+5'
Nations League
Jun 10, 2022 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Richard 19' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vernon De Marco 74'
  • goal Vladimir Weiss 81'
  • yellowcard Lubomir Satka 87'
  • yellowcard Matus Bero 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Vladimir Weiss 90'+6'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Nov 19, 2019 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Robert Bozenik 19' goal
  • Lukas Haraslin 62' yellowcard
  • Milan Skriniar 82' yellowcard
  • Marek Hamsik 86' goal
  • yellowcard Eddy Silvestre 45'
  • yellowcard Cavid Huseynov 45'
  • yellowcard Tamkin Khalilzada 88'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Jun 11, 2019 5.00pm
1
5
HT : 1 3
FT
  • Ramil Sheydaev 29' goal
  • Anton Krivotsyuk 70' yellowcard
  • goal Stanislav Lobotka 8'
  • goal Juraj Kucka 27'
  • goal Marek Hamsik 30'
  • goal Marek Hamsik 57'
  • goal David Hancko 85'