UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Oct 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

A. Le Coq Arena

Estonia
0 - 3
Sweden

Peetson (39'), Mets (41')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Nanasi (29', 37'), Gyokeres (66')
Douglas (15'), Hien (20'), Sema (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Estonia and Sweden, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estonia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Estonia 3-1 Azerbaijan
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League C1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Estonia	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Sweden

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Slovakia 2-2 Sweden
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Estonia	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 54.52%. A win for Estonia had a probability of 23.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Estonia win was 2-1 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.

Result
Estonia	Draw	Sweden
23.38% ( 0.26)	22.1% ( 0.34)	54.52% ( -0.59)

Both teams to score 59.61% (

-0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.43% (

-1.31)

39.57% (

1.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.08% (

-1.38)

61.92% (

1.38)

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.72% (

-0.51)

30.28% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.55% (

-0.61)

66.45% (

0.62)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.49% (

-0.63)

14.5% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.49% (

-1.24)

42.51% (

1.24)

Score Analysis

Estonia 23.38%

Sweden 54.52%

Draw 22.1%

Estonia	Draw	Sweden
2-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.97% Total : 23.38%	1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.26) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.1%	1-2 @ 9.78% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 6.29% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 5.27% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 3.04% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.11) 1-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.08) 0-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.2% Total : 54.52%