Nations League
Azerbaijan
Nov 16, 2024 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sahar stadionu
Estonia
  • Ozan Kokcu 63' yellowcard
  • Elvin Cafarquliyev 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maksim Paskotsi 39'
  • yellowcard Henri Anier 50'
  • yellowcard Rocco Robert Shein 57'
  • yellowcard Alex Tamm 90'+2'

Azerbaijan vs Estonia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Azerbaijan

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Oct 14, 2024 5.00pm
Azerbaijan 1 - 3 Slovakia

Estonia

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Oct 14, 2024 7.45pm
Estonia 0 - 3 Sweden

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 65.35%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 14.29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Azerbaijan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Azerbaijan 65.35% ▲ (+0.71)
Draw 20.36% ▼ (-0.21)
Estonia 14.29% ▼ (-0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.47% ▼ (-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.93% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 2.5 46.07% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 31.63% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 3.5 68.37% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 4.5 15.81% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 84.19% ▲ (+0.09)

Azerbaijan Goals

Over 0.5 86.71% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 0.5 13.29% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 1.5 59.89% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 1.5 40.11% ▼ (-0.35)

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5 55.9% ▼ (-0.79)
Under 0.5 44.1% ▲ (+0.79)
Over 1.5 19.79% ▼ (-0.66)
Under 1.5 80.2% ▲ (+0.65)

Score analysis

Azerbaijan 65.34%
Draw 20.36%
Estonia 14.29%
Azerbaijan
2-0 @ 11.93% ▲ (+0.21)
1-0 @ 11.82% ▲ (+0.14)
2-1 @ 9.77% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 8.03% ▲ (+0.20)
3-1 @ 6.57% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.13)
4-1 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 65.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.68% ▼ (-0.10)
0-0 @ 5.86% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 20.36%
Estonia
0-1 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.09)
1-2 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 14.29%

Head to Head

Nations League
Estonia
Oct 11, 2024 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT A. Le Coq Arena
Azerbaijan
  • Ioan Jakovlev 32' goal
  • Rocco Robert Shein 37' yellowcard
  • Vlasiy Sinyavskiy 45'+2' goal
  • Henri Anier 58' yellowcard
  • Rocco Robert Shein 71' goal
  • goal Tural Bayramov 45'+1'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Estonia
Oct 13, 2023 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT A. Le Coq Arena
Azerbaijan
  • Artur Pikk 18' yellowcard
  • Mattias Kait 68' yellowcard
  • Martin Vetkal 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Tural Bayramov 9'
  • yellowcard Emin Mahmudov 22'
  • yellowcard Rahil Mammadov 40'
  • yellowcard Mahir Madatov 45'+1'
  • goal Ramil Seydayev 45'+4'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Azerbaijan
Jun 17, 2023 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Dalga Arena
Estonia
  • Anton Krivotsyuk 62' goal
  • goal Rauno Sappinen 27'

Form Data

Azerbaijan 1 - 3 Slovakia
Estonia 3 - 1 Azerbaijan
Slovakia 2 - 0 Azerbaijan
Azerbaijan 1 - 3 Sweden
Azerbaijan 3 - 2 Kazakhstan
Albania 3 - 1 Azerbaijan
Estonia 0 - 3 Sweden
Estonia 3 - 1 Azerbaijan
Sweden 3 - 0 Estonia
Estonia 0 - 1 Slovakia
Lithuania 1 - 1 Estonia
Estonia 4 - 1 Faroe Islands