CONCACAF Nations League
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Jose Fajardo
2'
-
Jose Fajardo
2'
-
Jose Fajardo
20'
-
Jose Fajardo
20'
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Jose Luis Rodriguez
23'
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Jose Luis Rodriguez
23'
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Edgar Joel Barcenas
43'
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Edgar Joel Barcenas
43'
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Fidel Escobar
54'
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Fidel Escobar
54'
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Francisco Calvo
51'
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Francisco Calvo
51'
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Francisco Calvo
79'
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Francisco Calvo
79'
Panama vs Costa Rica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 67.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 12.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.
Result
Panama
67.96%
▲
(+0.05)
Draw
19.46%
▼
(-0.01)
Costa Rica
12.59%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
46.68%
▼
(-0.10)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.05%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 2.5
45.95%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 3.5
31.74%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 3.5
68.26%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 4.5
15.89%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 4.5
84.11%
▲
(+0.05)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5
87.5%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
12.5%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
61.51%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
38.49%
▲
(+0.02)
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5
53.35%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 0.5
46.65%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
17.78%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
82.22%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Panama
67.95%
Draw
19.46%
Costa Rica
12.59%
Panama
2-0
@
12.6%
▲
(+0.03)
1-0 @ 12.12% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.61% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.74% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.66% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 67.95%
1-0 @ 12.12% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.61% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.74% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.66% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 67.95%
Draw
1-1
@
9.25%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 19.46%
0-0 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 19.46%
Costa Rica
0-1
@
4.45%
1-2 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 12.59%
1-2 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 12.59%
Head to Head
CONCACAF Nations League
-
Joel Campbell
10'
-
Joel Campbell
10'
-
Pablo Cesar Arboine Carmona
43'
-
Pablo Arboine
43'
-
Brandon Aguilera
59'
-
Brandon Aguilera
59'
-
Giancarlo Gonzalez
83'
-
Juan Pablo Vargas
83'
-
Alejandro Bran
86'
-
Alejandro Bran
86'
-
Michael Murillo
4'
-
Michael Murillo
4'
-
Jose Fajardo
29'
-
Jose Fajardo
29'
-
Anibal Godoy
59'
-
Anibal Godoy
59'
-
Cecilio Waterman Ruiz
60'
-
Cecilio Waterman Ruiz
60'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
-
Aaron Suarez
90'+1'
-
Aaron Suarez
90'+1'
-
Jose Fajardo
23'
-
Jose Fajardo
23'
-
Edgar Joel Barcenas
68'
-
Edgar Joel Barcenas
68'
CONCACAF Nations League
-
Jose Fajardo
77'
CONCACAF Nations League
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
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Bryan Ruiz
65'
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
-
Adalberto Carrasquilla
79'
-
Jefferson Brenes Rojas
77'