Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for United Arab Emirates had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest United Arab Emirates win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.