World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round

Jun 7, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Rommel Fernandez Gutierrez

Panama
2 - 0
Guyana

Martinez (62', 62'), Luis Rodriguez (65', 65')
Cordoba (36'), Cordoba (36'), Godoy (77'), Godoy (77'), Luis Rodriguez (88'), Luis Rodriguez (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Vancooten (34'), Vancooten (34'), Moriah-Welsh (67'), Moriah-Welsh (67'), Gordon (88'), Gordon (88'), Moore (89'), Moore (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Panama and Guyana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Panama

All competitions

Last Game: Panama 0-1 Jamaica
Sunday, March 24 at 10pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bolivia	0	0	0
2	Uruguay	0	0	0
3	Panama	0	0	0
4	USA	0	0	0

Guyana

All competitions

Last Game: Trin. & Tob. 2-0 Guyana
Thursday, May 16 at 12am in International Friendlies

Current League B Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Antigua and Barbuda	0	0	0
2	Guyana	0	0	0
3	Puerto Rico	0	0	0
4	Bahamas	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 66.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Guyana had a probability of 13.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Guyana win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Panama in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Panama.

Result
Panama	Draw	Guyana
66.3% ( 0.08)	19.88% ( -0.07)	13.82% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 48.79% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.01% (

0.29)

44.99% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.66% (

0.28)

67.34% (

-0.28)

Panama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.32% (

0.11)

12.68% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.13% (

0.23)

38.87% (

-0.23)

Guyana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.88% (

0.16)

44.12% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.78% (

0.13)

80.22% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Panama 66.3%

Guyana 13.82%

Draw 19.88%

Panama	Draw	Guyana
2-0 @ 11.93% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.21% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.07% Total : 66.3%	1-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.83% Total : 19.88%	0-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.87% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.35% Total : 13.82%