Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 57.47%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Jamaica in this match.