Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 69.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 11.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.51%) and 3-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (4.48%).