CONCACAF Nations League | Semi-Finals

Mar 21, 2024 at 11pm UK

Nippert Stadium

USA
3 - 1
Jamaica

Burke (90+6' og.), Wright (96', 109')
Scally (12')

FT
(aet)

Leigh (1')
Lembikisa (51'), Palmer (54'), Lowe (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between USA and Jamaica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: USA 0-1 Slovenia
Saturday, January 20 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	USA	3	12	7
2	Jamaica	3	8	7
3	Trinidad and Tobago	3	-6	3
4	Saint Kitts and Nevis	3	-14	0

Jamaica

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Trin. & Tob. 0-0 Jamaica
Sunday, March 3 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current League A Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jamaica	4	5	10
2	Honduras	4	7	7
3	Suriname	4	3	5
4	Cuba	4	-3	5
5	Haiti	4	-1	3
6	Grenada	4	-11	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 69.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 11.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.51%) and 3-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (4.48%).

Result
USA	Draw	Jamaica
69.33% ( -0.04)	19.42% ( 0.11)	11.25% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 42.7% (

-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.96% (

-0.59)

49.04% (

0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.88% (

-0.54)

71.12% (

0.54)

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.97% (

-0.19)

13.03% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.42% (

-0.39)

39.59% (

0.39)

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.1% (

-0.48)

50.91% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.73% (

-0.33)

85.28% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

USA 69.32%

Jamaica 11.25%

Draw 19.42%

USA	Draw	Jamaica
2-0 @ 13.77% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 13.51% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.6% Total : 69.32%	1-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.52% Total : 19.42%	0-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 11.25%