CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg

Nov 17, 2023 at 2am UK

Nippert Stadium

USA
3 - 0
Trin. & Tob.

(USA win 4-2 on aggregate)

Pepi (82', 82'), Robinson (86', 86'), Reyna (89', 89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Powder (18'), Powder (18'), Hackshaw (90+1'), Hackshaw (90+1')
Powder (37'), Powder (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between USA and Trinidad and Tobago, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions

Last Game: USA 4-0 Ghana
Wednesday, October 18 at 1.30am in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	USA	3	12	7
2	Jamaica	3	8	7
3	Trinidad and Tobago	3	-6	3
4	Saint Kitts and Nevis	3	-14	0

Trinidad and Tobago

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Curacao 5-3 Trin. & Tob.
Wednesday, October 18 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	4	7	10
2	Trinidad and Tobago	4	1	9
3	Martinique	4	-1	7
4	Guatemala	4	-2	4
5	Curacao	4	-1	3
6	El Salvador	4	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 78.84%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Trinidad and Tobago had a probability of 6.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.66%) and 1-0 (11.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.75%), while for a Trinidad and Tobago win it was 0-1 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for USA in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for USA.

Result
USA	Draw	Trinidad and Tobago
78.84% ( -0.97)	14.23% ( 0.35)	6.94% ( 0.63)

Both teams to score 41.88% (

2.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.31% (

0.99)

39.69% (

-0.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.96% (

1.02)

62.04% (

-1.02)

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.89% (

0.01)

8.11% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.51% (

0.02)

28.49% (

-0.02)

Trinidad and Tobago Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.58% (

2.49)

54.42% (

-2.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.47% (

1.46)

87.53% (

-1.46)

Score Analysis

USA 78.83%

Trinidad and Tobago 6.94%

Draw 14.23%

USA	Draw	Trinidad and Tobago
2-0 @ 13.92% ( -0.64) 3-0 @ 11.66% ( -0.53) 1-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.51) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.26) 4-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.22) 4-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.14) 5-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.17) 5-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.22) 6-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.14) 6-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.92% Total : 78.83%	1-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.26) Other @ 0.48% Total : 14.23%	0-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.21) Other @ 2.2% Total : 6.94%