CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg

Nov 21, 2023 at 12am UK

Hasely Crawford Stadium

Trin. & Tob.
2 - 1
USA

Moore (43', 43'), Jones (57', 57')
Moore (77'), Muckette (80'), Muckette (80'), Rampersad (83')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Robinson (25', 25')
Dest (39'), Dest (39'), Scally (79'), Scally (79'), Balogun (83'), Balogun (83')
Dest (39'), Dest (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Trinidad and Tobago and USA, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Trinidad and Tobago

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: USA 3-0 Trin. & Tob.
Friday, November 17 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	4	7	10
2	Trinidad and Tobago	4	1	9
3	Martinique	4	-1	7
4	Guatemala	4	-2	4
5	Curacao	4	-1	3
6	El Salvador	4	-4	1

USA

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: USA 3-0 Trin. & Tob.
Friday, November 17 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	USA	3	12	7
2	Jamaica	3	8	7
3	Trinidad and Tobago	3	-6	3
4	Saint Kitts and Nevis	3	-14	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 53.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Trinidad and Tobago had a probability of 22.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Trinidad and Tobago win it was 1-0 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Trinidad and Tobago	Draw	USA
22.72% ( 0.18)	23.38% ( 0.04)	53.91% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 54.4% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.94% (

0.02)

46.07% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.64% (

0.02)

68.37% (

-0.02)

Trinidad and Tobago Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.56% (

0.18)

34.45% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.84% (

0.19)

71.16% (

-0.18)

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.99% (

-0.07)

17.01% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.86% (

-0.12)

47.14% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Trinidad and Tobago 22.72%

USA 53.91%

Draw 23.38%

Trinidad and Tobago	Draw	USA
1-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.12% Total : 22.72%	1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.38%	0-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.8% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.19% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.79% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.43% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.37% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 53.91%