World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
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Kaleem Simon
48'
-
Kaleem Simon
48'
-
Brandon Comley
51'
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Brandon Comley
51'
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Jovani Welch
40'
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Jovani Welch
40'
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Jose Fajardo
61'
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Jose Fajardo
61'
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Jose Luis Rodriguez
70'
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Jose Luis Rodriguez
70'
Montserrat vs Panama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 68.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Montserrat had a probability of 12.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.94%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Montserrat win it was 1-0 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.
Result
Montserrat
12.52%
▼
(-0.35)
Draw
18.63%
▼
(-0.60)
Panama
68.85%
▲
(+0.95)
Both Teams to Score:
49.23%
▲
(+0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.56%
▲
(+1.83)
Under 2.5
42.44%
▼
(-1.83)
Over 3.5
35.15%
▲
(+1.81)
Under 3.5
64.85%
▼
(-1.80)
Over 4.5
18.38%
▲
(+1.34)
Under 4.5
81.62%
▼
(-1.33)
Montserrat Goals
Over 0.5
55.46%
▲
(+0.61)
Under 0.5
44.53%
▼
(-0.61)
Over 1.5
19.44%
▲
(+0.49)
Under 1.5
80.56%
▼
(-0.49)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5
88.76%
▲
(+0.78)
Under 0.5
11.24%
▼
(-0.78)
Over 1.5
64.19%
▲
(+1.68)
Under 1.5
35.81%
▼
(-1.68)
Score analysis
Montserrat
12.52%
Draw
18.63%
Panama
68.84%
Montserrat
1-0
@
4.05%
▼
(-0.27)
2-1 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 12.52%
2-1 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 12.52%
Draw
1-1
@
8.85%
▼
(-0.30)
0-0 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.42)
2-2 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 18.63%
0-0 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.42)
2-2 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 18.63%
Panama
0-2
@
11.95%
▼
(-0.23)
0-1 @ 10.94% ▼ (-0.56)
1-2 @ 9.67% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 8.71% ▲ (+0.12)
1-3 @ 7.05% ▲ (+0.21)
0-4 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.21)
1-4 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.23)
2-3 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.13)
0-5 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.16)
1-5 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.15)
2-4 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 68.84%
0-1 @ 10.94% ▼ (-0.56)
1-2 @ 9.67% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 8.71% ▲ (+0.12)
1-3 @ 7.05% ▲ (+0.21)
0-4 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.21)
1-4 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.23)
2-3 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.13)
0-5 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.16)
1-5 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.15)
2-4 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 68.84%