CONCACAF Nations League | League B

Nov 20, 2023 at 9pm UK

Blakes Estate Stadium

Montserrat
4 - 2
Barbados

Barzey (33'), Dyer (35'), Daniels (62'), Richmond (88')
Dyer (39'), Dyer (46')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Jules (47'), James (90+4')
Williams (44'), Edmee (86'), Jules (90+1'), Leacock (90')

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Montserrat and Barbados.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montserrat

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Montserrat 2-1 Dominican Rep.
Friday, November 17 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nicaragua	0	0	0
2	Dominican Republic	0	0	0
3	Barbados	0	0	0
4	Montserrat	0	0	0

Barbados

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Barbados 0-4 Nicaragua
Friday, November 17 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nicaragua	0	0	0
2	Dominican Republic	0	0	0
3	Barbados	0	0	0
4	Montserrat	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montserrat win with a probability of 50.05%. A win for Barbados had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montserrat win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.18%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Barbados win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montserrat would win this match.

Result
Montserrat	Draw	Barbados
50.05% ( -0.06)	20.85% ( 0.18)	29.11% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 70.23% (

-0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.84% (

-0.96)

28.16% (

0.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.06% (

-1.2)

48.94% (

1.21)

Montserrat Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.07% (

-0.36)

11.93% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.71% (

-0.77)

37.29% (

0.77)

Barbados Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.74% (

-0.55)

20.26% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.39% (

-0.89)

52.61% (

0.9)

Score Analysis

Montserrat 50.05%

Barbados 29.11%

Draw 20.85%

Montserrat	Draw	Barbados
2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.07) 5-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.85% Total : 50.05%	1-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.64% Total : 20.85%	1-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) 3-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.88% Total : 29.11%