Dominican Republic national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Sep 12, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Olimpico Felix Sanchez
Montserrat national football team

Dominican Rep.
3 - 0
Montserrat

Dorsett (3' og., 3' og.), Romero (25', 25', 64', 64')
de Lucas (52'), Clifton (68'), Alexander Baez Pena (77'), Alexander Baez Pena (77')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Dorsett (50'), Dorsett (50'), de Lucas (52'), Clifton (68'), Braham-Barrett (79'), Braham-Barrett (79')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Dominican Republic and Montserrat.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dominican Republic

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Dominican Rep. 0-2 Nicaragua
Saturday, September 9 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Montserrat

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Barbados 2-3 Montserrat
Saturday, September 9 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 45.37%. A win for Montserrat had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Montserrat win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominican Republic would win this match.

Result
Dominican RepublicDrawMontserrat
45.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)24.8% (0.012 0.01)29.82% (-0.011999999999997 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.23% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.31% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)46.69% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.04% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)68.95% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Dominican Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.36% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)20.64% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.79% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)53.21% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Montserrat Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.86% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)29.14% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.92% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)65.08% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Dominican Republic 45.37%
    Montserrat 29.83%
    Draw 24.8%
Dominican RepublicDrawMontserrat
1-0 @ 9.49% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.23%
2-0 @ 7.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.94% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.55%
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 45.37%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.02% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.42% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.22% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.88% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 29.83%

How you voted: Dominican Rep. vs Montserrat

Dominican Republic
20.0%
Draw
40.0%
Montserrat
40.0%
5