Nicaragua national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Sep 12, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Nacional Dennis Martinez
Barbados national football team

Nicaragua
5 - 1
Barbados

Smith (10', 10'), Luis Perez Rodriguez (40', 40'), Moreno (45+1', 45+1', 76', 76'), Montes (68', 68')
FT(HT: 6-0)
Gale (89', 89')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Nicaragua and Barbados.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nicaragua

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Dominican Rep. 0-2 Nicaragua
Saturday, September 9 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Barbados

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Barbados 2-3 Montserrat
Saturday, September 9 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 87.9%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for Barbados had a probability of 3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.76%) and 4-0 (10.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.21%), while for a Barbados win it was 0-1 (1.42%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nicaragua would win this match.

Result
NicaraguaDrawBarbados
87.9% (-0.262 -0.26)9.11% (0.18 0.18)3% (0.0809 0.08)
Both teams to score 32.3% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.6% (-0.435 -0.44)34.4% (0.434 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.69% (-0.489 -0.49)56.31% (0.489 0.49)
Nicaragua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.83% (-0.126 -0.13)5.17% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.51% (-0.374 -0.37)20.49% (0.373 0.37)
Barbados Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
34.06% (0.14 0.14)65.94% (-0.14200000000001 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.6% (0.059 0.06)93.4% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Nicaragua 87.88%
    Barbados 3%
    Draw 9.11%
NicaraguaDrawBarbados
2-0 @ 14.96% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
3-0 @ 14.76% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
4-0 @ 10.93% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-0 @ 10.1% (0.14 0.14)
5-0 @ 6.48% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-1 @ 6.23% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.15% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.55% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
6-0 @ 3.2% (-0.088 -0.09)
5-1 @ 2.7% (-0.037 -0.04)
7-0 @ 1.35% (-0.049 -0.05)
6-1 @ 1.33% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.28% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 87.88%
1-1 @ 4.21% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.41% (0.076 0.08)
2-2 @ 1.3% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 9.11%
0-1 @ 1.42% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 3%