CONCACAF Nations League
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Ariagner Smith
10'
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Ariagner Smith
10'
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Juan Luis Perez Rodriguez
40'
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Juan Luis Perez Rodriguez
40'
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Jaime Moreno
45'+1'
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Jaime Moreno
45'+1'
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Jacob Montes
68'
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Jacob Montes
68'
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Jaime Moreno
76'
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Jaime Moreno
76'
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Miguel Rodriguez
85'
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Miguel Rodriguez
86'
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Thierry Gale
89'
-
Thierry Gale
89'
Nicaragua vs Barbados - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 87.9%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for Barbados had a probability of 3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.76%) and 4-0 (10.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.21%), while for a Barbados win it was 0-1 (1.42%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nicaragua would win this match.
Result
Nicaragua
87.9%
▼
(-0.27)
Draw
9.11%
▲
(+0.18)
Barbados
3%
▲
(+0.09)
Both Teams to Score:
32.3%
▲
(+0.10)
Goals
Over 2.5
65.6%
▼
(-0.44)
Under 2.5
34.4%
▲
(+0.44)
Over 3.5
43.69%
▼
(-0.49)
Under 3.5
56.31%
▲
(+0.49)
Over 4.5
25.18%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 4.5
74.82%
▲
(+0.42)
Nicaragua Goals
Over 0.5
94.83%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 0.5
5.17%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 1.5
79.51%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 1.5
20.49%
▲
(+0.38)
Barbados Goals
Over 0.5
34.06%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 0.5
65.94%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 1.5
6.6%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
93.4%
▼
(-0.07)
Score analysis
Nicaragua
87.88%
Draw
9.11%
Barbados
3%
Nicaragua
2-0
@
14.96%
▲
(+0.10)
3-0 @ 14.76% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 10.93% ▼ (-0.13)
1-0 @ 10.1% ▲ (+0.14)
5-0 @ 6.48% ▼ (-0.13)
2-1 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.03)
6-0 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.09)
5-1 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.04)
7-0 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.05)
6-1 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 87.88%
3-0 @ 14.76% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 10.93% ▼ (-0.13)
1-0 @ 10.1% ▲ (+0.14)
5-0 @ 6.48% ▼ (-0.13)
2-1 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.03)
6-0 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.09)
5-1 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.04)
7-0 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.05)
6-1 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 87.88%
Draw
1-1
@
4.21%
▲
(+0.09)
0-0 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 9.11%
0-0 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 9.11%
Barbados
0-1
@
1.42%
▲
(+0.04)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 3%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 3%