Montserrat national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Nov 17, 2023 at 9pm UK
Blakes Estate Stadium
Dominican Republic national football team

Montserrat
2 - 1
Dominican Rep.

Barzey (37'), Simon (56')
Mason (20'), Meade (62'), Simon (90+1'), Taylor (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Reyes (75')
Carlos Lopez (18'), de Lucas (67'), Vasquez (69'), Flores (90+7')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Montserrat and Dominican Republic.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Nicaragua 3-0 Montserrat
Tuesday, October 17 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Dominican Rep. 5-2 Barbados
Tuesday, October 17 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 76.7%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Montserrat had a probability of 8.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.78%) and 1-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.69%), while for a Montserrat win it was 2-1 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
MontserratDrawDominican Republic
8.9% (-1.661 -1.66)14.39% (-2.059 -2.06)76.7% (3.717 3.72)
Both teams to score 51.57% (1.194 1.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.37% (4.901 4.9)32.62% (-4.906 -4.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.71% (5.465 5.47)54.29% (-5.47 -5.47)
Montserrat Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.44% (0.127 0.13)44.56% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.42% (0.104 0.1)80.58% (-0.10900000000001 -0.11)
Dominican Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.02% (1.94 1.94)6.97% (-1.945 -1.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.45% (4.926 4.93)25.55% (-4.931 -4.93)
Score Analysis
    Montserrat 8.9%
    Dominican Republic 76.7%
    Draw 14.39%
MontserratDrawDominican Republic
2-1 @ 2.7% (-0.421 -0.42)
1-0 @ 2.51% (-0.698 -0.7)
2-0 @ 1.02% (-0.278 -0.28)
3-2 @ 0.97% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 8.9%
1-1 @ 6.69% (-1.07 -1.07)
2-2 @ 3.6% (-0.176 -0.18)
0-0 @ 3.11% (-0.878 -0.88)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 14.39%
0-2 @ 11.01% (-0.63 -0.63)
0-3 @ 9.78% (0.4 0.4)
1-2 @ 8.91% (-0.47 -0.47)
0-1 @ 8.28% (-1.358 -1.36)
1-3 @ 7.91% (0.351 0.35)
0-4 @ 6.51% (0.843 0.84)
1-4 @ 5.26% (0.698 0.7)
0-5 @ 3.47% (0.727 0.73)
2-3 @ 3.2% (0.154 0.15)
1-5 @ 2.8% (0.596 0.6)
2-4 @ 2.13% (0.289 0.29)
0-6 @ 1.54% (0.435 0.44)
1-6 @ 1.24% (0.355 0.36)
2-5 @ 1.13% (0.244 0.24)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 76.7%

How you voted: Montserrat vs Dominican Rep.

Montserrat
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Dominican Republic
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 12, 2023 12am
League B
Dominican Rep.
3-0
Montserrat
Dorsett (3' og.), Romero (25', 64')
de Lucas (52'), Alexander Baez Pena (77')

Dorsett (50'), Clifton (68'), Braham-Barrett (79')