Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 76.7%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Montserrat had a probability of 8.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.78%) and 1-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.69%), while for a Montserrat win it was 2-1 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.