Montserrat national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Oct 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
Wildey Turf
Nicaragua national football team

Montserrat
0 - 3
Nicaragua


Bowyer (0'), Kirnon (47')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Luis Perez (5'), Medina (72'), Montes (90+3')
Smith (25'), Barrera (35'), Belli Moldskred (44'), Acevedo (84')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Montserrat and Nicaragua.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montserrat

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Dominican Rep. 3-0 Montserrat
Tuesday, September 12 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Nicaragua

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Nicaragua 5-1 Barbados
Tuesday, September 12 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 64.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Montserrat had a probability of 15.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Montserrat win it was 2-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nicaragua would win this match.

Result
MontserratDrawNicaragua
15.94% (-0.71 -0.71)19.78% (-0.562 -0.56)64.29% (1.274 1.27)
Both teams to score 54.52% (0.347 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.9% (1.238 1.24)40.1% (-1.234 -1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.53% (1.268 1.27)62.47% (-1.265 -1.27)
Montserrat Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.81% (-0.116 -0.12)38.19% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.05% (-0.114 -0.11)74.95% (0.117 0.12)
Nicaragua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.21% (0.727 0.73)11.79% (-0.724 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.01% (1.532 1.53)36.99% (-1.528 -1.53)
Score Analysis
    Montserrat 15.94%
    Nicaragua 64.29%
    Draw 19.78%
MontserratDrawNicaragua
2-1 @ 4.46% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-0 @ 4.33% (-0.267 -0.27)
2-0 @ 2.09% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1.53% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.43% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 15.94%
1-1 @ 9.27% (-0.296 -0.3)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.5% (-0.261 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.78%
0-2 @ 10.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.91% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 9.63% (-0.276 -0.28)
0-3 @ 7.33% (0.205 0.21)
1-3 @ 7.06% (0.176 0.18)
0-4 @ 3.92% (0.215 0.22)
1-4 @ 3.77% (0.197 0.2)
2-3 @ 3.4% (0.074 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.82% (0.089 0.09)
0-5 @ 1.68% (0.137 0.14)
1-5 @ 1.61% (0.127 0.13)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 64.29%