CONCACAF Nations League
Oct 13, 2023 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Wildey Turf
  • Lee Bowyer 0' yellowcard
  • Lucas Kirnon 47' yellowcard
  • Lyle Taylor 48' redcard
  • goal Juan Luis Perez 5'
  • yellowcard Ariagner Smith 25'
  • yellowcard Juan Barrera 35'
  • yellowcard Matias Belli Moldskred 44'
  • goal Harold Medina 72'
  • yellowcard Oscar Acevedo 84'
  • goal Jacob Montes 90'+3'

Montserrat vs Nicaragua - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montserrat

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Sep 12, 2023 12.00am
Dominican Rep. 3 - 0 Montserrat

Nicaragua

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Sep 12, 2023 3.00am
Nicaragua 5 - 1 Barbados

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 64.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Montserrat had a probability of 15.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Montserrat win it was 2-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nicaragua would win this match.

Result

Montserrat 15.94% (-0.71)
Draw 19.78% (-0.57)
Nicaragua 64.29% (+1.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.52% (+0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.9% (+1.24)
Under 2.5 40.1% (-1.24)
Over 3.5 37.53% (+1.27)
Under 3.5 62.47% (-1.27)
Over 4.5 20.19% (+0.98)
Under 4.5 79.81% (-0.98)

Montserrat Goals

Over 0.5 61.81% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 38.19% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 25.05% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 74.95% (+0.12)

Nicaragua Goals

Over 0.5 88.21% (+0.73)
Under 0.5 11.79% (-0.73)
Over 1.5 63.01% (+1.54)
Under 1.5 36.99% (-1.53)

Score analysis

Montserrat 15.94%
Draw 19.78%
Nicaragua 64.29%
Montserrat
2-1 @ 4.46% (-0.16)
1-0 @ 4.33% (-0.27)
2-0 @ 2.09% (-0.14)
3-2 @ 1.53% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.43% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 15.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.27% (-0.30)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.5% (-0.27)
3-3 @ 1.09% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.78%
Nicaragua
0-2 @ 10.29% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.91% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 9.63% (-0.28)
0-3 @ 7.33% (+0.21)
1-3 @ 7.06% (+0.18)
0-4 @ 3.92% (+0.22)
1-4 @ 3.77% (+0.20)
2-3 @ 3.4% (+0.08)
2-4 @ 1.82% (+0.09)
0-5 @ 1.68% (+0.14)
1-5 @ 1.61% (+0.13)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 64.29%