CONCACAF Nations League | League B

Oct 17, 2023 at 3am UK

Estadio Nacional de Futbol

Nicaragua
3 - 0
Montserrat

Luis Perez (38', 38'), Coronel (43', 43'), Belli Moldskred (48', 48')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Brooks-Meade (13'), Brooks-Meade (13'), Braham-Barrett (62'), Braham-Barrett (62'), Dyer (65'), Dyer (65'), Taylor (79'), Taylor (79')

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Nicaragua and Montserrat.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nicaragua

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Montserrat 0-3 Nicaragua
Friday, October 13 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nicaragua	0	0	0
2	Dominican Republic	0	0	0
3	Barbados	0	0	0
4	Montserrat	0	0	0

Montserrat

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Montserrat 0-3 Nicaragua
Friday, October 13 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nicaragua	0	0	0
2	Dominican Republic	0	0	0
3	Barbados	0	0	0
4	Montserrat	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 83.15%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Montserrat had a probability of 4.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.17%) and 1-0 (10.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.62%), while for a Montserrat win it was 0-1 (2.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nicaragua would win this match.

Result
Nicaragua	Draw	Montserrat
83.15% ( -1.19)	11.97% ( 0.8)	4.88% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 37.39% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.98% (

-2.12)

38.02% (

2.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.71% (

-2.3)

60.29% (

2.29)

Nicaragua Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.18% (

-0.67)

6.82% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.87% (

-1.83)

25.13% (

1.83)

Montserrat Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

40.13% (

-0.01)

59.87% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.42% (

-0.01)

90.58% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Nicaragua 83.14%

Montserrat 4.88%

Draw 11.97%

Nicaragua	Draw	Montserrat
2-0 @ 14.72% ( 0.41) 3-0 @ 13.17% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.7) 4-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.43) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.42) 4-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.22) 5-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.22) 6-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.28) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.06) 6-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.28% Total : 83.14%	1-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.32% Total : 11.97%	0-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.35% Total : 4.88%