Nicaragua national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Oct 17, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Nacional de Futbol
Montserrat national football team

Nicaragua
3 - 0
Montserrat

Luis Perez (38', 38'), Coronel (43', 43'), Belli Moldskred (48', 48')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Brooks-Meade (13'), Brooks-Meade (13'), Braham-Barrett (62'), Braham-Barrett (62'), Dyer (65'), Dyer (65'), Taylor (79'), Taylor (79')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Nicaragua and Montserrat.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nicaragua

All competitions
Last Game: Haiti 2-0 Nicaragua
Wednesday, November 19 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Montserrat

All competitions
Last Game: Guyana 3-0 Montserrat
Wednesday, June 11 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 83.15%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Montserrat had a probability of 4.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.17%) and 1-0 (10.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.62%), while for a Montserrat win it was 0-1 (2.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nicaragua would win this match.

Result
NicaraguaDrawMontserrat
83.15% (-1.191 -1.19)11.97% (0.803 0.8)4.88% (0.387 0.39)
Both teams to score 37.39% (-0.275 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.98% (-2.117 -2.12)38.02% (2.117 2.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.71% (-2.295 -2.3)60.29% (2.295 2.29)
Nicaragua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.18% (-0.66799999999999 -0.67)6.82% (0.6681 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.87% (-1.831 -1.83)25.13% (1.83 1.83)
Montserrat Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.13% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)59.87% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)90.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Nicaragua 83.14%
    Montserrat 4.88%
    Draw 11.97%
NicaraguaDrawMontserrat
2-0 @ 14.72% (0.41 0.41)
3-0 @ 13.17% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-0 @ 10.96% (0.7 0.7)
4-0 @ 8.85% (-0.431 -0.43)
2-1 @ 7.55% (0.207 0.21)
3-1 @ 6.76% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
5-0 @ 4.75% (-0.423 -0.42)
4-1 @ 4.54% (-0.223 -0.22)
5-1 @ 2.44% (-0.217 -0.22)
6-0 @ 2.13% (-0.278 -0.28)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.057 -0.06)
6-1 @ 1.09% (-0.143 -0.14)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 83.14%
1-1 @ 5.62% (0.356 0.36)
0-0 @ 4.08% (0.401 0.4)
2-2 @ 1.94% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 11.97%
0-1 @ 2.09% (0.205 0.21)
1-2 @ 1.44% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 4.88%

Head to Head
Oct 13, 2023 8pm
League B
Montserrat
0-3
Nicaragua

Bowyer (0'), Kirnon (47')
Taylor (48')
Luis Perez (5'), Medina (72'), Montes (90+3')
Smith (25'), Barrera (35'), Belli Moldskred (44'), Acevedo (84')