World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round

Jun 6, 2024 at 3am UK

Estadio Nacional Dennis Martinez

Nicaragua
4 - 1
Montserrat

Barzey (3'), Moreno (3'), J (23' og.), Montes (69', 69'), Medina (90+3', 90+3')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Arteaga (23'), Barzey (23')
Cirino (59'), Cirino (59'), Simon (90+1'), Simon (90+1')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between Nicaragua and Montserrat.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nicaragua

All competitions

Last Game: Guatemala 1-1 Nicaragua
Monday, May 27 at 1am in International Friendlies

Current League B Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nicaragua	0	0	0
2	Dominican Republic	0	0	0
3	Barbados	0	0	0
4	Montserrat	0	0	0

Montserrat

All competitions

Last Game: Montserrat 4-2 Barbados
Monday, November 20 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nicaragua	0	0	0
2	Dominican Republic	0	0	0
3	Barbados	0	0	0
4	Montserrat	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 89.32%. A draw had a probability of 7.7% and a win for Montserrat had a probability of 2.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 4-0 (10.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.65%), while for a Montserrat win it was 0-1 (1.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nicaragua would win this match.

Result
Nicaragua	Draw	Montserrat
89.32% ( 0.02)	7.69% ( -0.01)	2.99% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 39.82% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.54% (

0.07)

25.46% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.48% (

0.09)

45.51% (

-0.09)

Nicaragua Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.52% (

0.01)

3.48% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

84.84% (

0.04)

15.16% (

-0.04)

Montserrat Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

41.26% (

0.04)

58.74% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10% (

0.02)

89.99% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Nicaragua 89.31%

Montserrat 2.99%

Draw 7.69%

Nicaragua	Draw	Montserrat
3-0 @ 12.9% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 10.83% 5-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.86% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.13% ( -0) 4-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 7-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0) 7-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 3.67% Total : 89.31%	1-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 1.63% ( 0) Other @ 0.36% Total : 7.69%	0-1 @ 1.09% ( -0) 1-2 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 2.99%