Guatemala national football team
Friendlies 2
May 27, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Cementos Progreso
Nicaragua national football team

Guatemala
1 - 1
Nicaragua

Rubin (11', 11')
Morales (35'), Yanes (60'), Carlos Pinto (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Medina (61' pen., 61' pen.)
Nino (22'), Serapio (45'), Medina (64'), Fletes (66'), Jose Rodriguez Morales (68'), Alonso Vega Carmona (90+4')
Jose Rodriguez Morales (80')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 2 clash between Guatemala and Nicaragua.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Guatemala 0-0 Venezuela
Sunday, March 24 at 10pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Nicaragua 0-1 Cuba
Wednesday, March 27 at 1am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Nicaragua had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Nicaragua win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
GuatemalaDrawNicaragua
40.54% (0.012 0.01)28.08% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)31.38% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 46.82% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.88% (0.057000000000002 0.06)59.12% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.44% (0.044 0.04)79.56% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.41% (0.033000000000001 0.03)28.58% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.62% (0.044999999999995 0.04)64.38% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Nicaragua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.56% (0.031000000000006 0.03)34.44% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.85% (0.033000000000001 0.03)71.15% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Guatemala 40.53%
    Nicaragua 31.38%
    Draw 28.08%
GuatemalaDrawNicaragua
1-0 @ 12.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 40.53%
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 9.85% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.39% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.08%
0-1 @ 10.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 31.38%

Head to Head
Nov 20, 2022 3am
International Friendly
Guatemala
3-1
Nicaragua
Lom (45+3' pen., 63'), Santis (48')
Moreno (74')
Sep 8, 2021 8pm
Friendlies 2
Guatemala
2-2
Nicaragua
Anselmo Mejia del Cid (25'), Morales (74')
Andres Ruiz Rumph (35')
Smith (32'), Flores Rivas (86')
Elieth Peralta Arce (35'), Bonilla (90+5')
Feb 24, 2021 9pm
Friendlies 2
Guatemala
1-0
Nicaragua
Rittmeyer (90+4')
(42')

(59'), (67')
Oct 7, 2020 2am
Friendlies 2
Nicaragua
0-0
Guatemala
(90+1')
Mar 27, 2019 1.30am
International Friendlies
Nicaragua
0-1
Guatemala

Betancur (14')
Martinez (40')
Guerra (87'), Soto (92')