Friendlies 1

Mar 22, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria

Ecuador
2 - 0
Guatemala

Yeboah (8', 8'), Plata (86', 86')
Franco (85'), Franco (85'), Plata (87'), Plata (87')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Ecuador and Guatemala, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ecuador

All competitions

Last Game: Ecuador 1-0 Chile
Tuesday, November 21 at 11.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Guatemala

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Guatemala 0-1 Iceland
Sunday, January 14 at 12am in International Friendlies

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	4	7	10
2	Trinidad and Tobago	4	1	9
3	Martinique	4	-1	7
4	Guatemala	4	-2	4
5	Curacao	4	-1	3
6	El Salvador	4	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 57.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 17.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.45%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ecuador would win this match.

Result
Ecuador	Draw	Guatemala
57.27% ( -0.24)	25.53% ( 0.21)	17.19% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 40.23% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.41% (

-0.65)

60.58% (

0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.31% (

-0.5)

80.68% (

0.5)

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.72% (

-0.36)

21.28% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.79% (

-0.56)

54.21% (

0.56)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.11% (

-0.36)

48.88% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.12% (

-0.26)

83.87% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Ecuador 57.26%

Guatemala 17.19%

Draw 25.53%

Ecuador	Draw	Guatemala
1-0 @ 16.09% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 12.45% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.87% Total : 57.26%	1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.42% Total : 25.53%	0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.98% Total : 17.19%