Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 92.39%. A draw had a probability of 6% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 1.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 3-0 with a probability of 15.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.09%) and 4-0 (13.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.76%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (0.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.