Peru national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 23, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
Nicaragua national football team

Peru
2 - 0
Nicaragua

Grimaldo (2', 2'), Lapadula (13', 13')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Coronel (55'), Coronel (55'), Coronel (62'), Coronel (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Peru and Nicaragua, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peru

All competitions
Last Game: Peru 1-1 Venezuela
Wednesday, November 22 at 2am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Nicaragua

All competitions
Last Game: Nicaragua 0-0 Dominican Rep.
Wednesday, November 22 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 36.99%. A win for Peru had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Peru win was 1-0 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Peru would win this match.

Result
PeruDrawNicaragua
35.23% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)27.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)36.99% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.58% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)57.42% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)78.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.07% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)30.93% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.77% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)67.23% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Nicaragua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.16% (0.0049999999999955 0)29.84% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)65.92% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Peru 35.22%
    Nicaragua 36.99%
    Draw 27.77%
PeruDrawNicaragua
1-0 @ 10.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 6.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 35.22%
1-1 @ 13.09%
0-0 @ 9.23% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 4.65%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.77%
0-1 @ 11.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 6.75% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.72% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.87%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 36.99%

How you voted: Peru vs Nicaragua

Peru
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Nicaragua
0.0%
14