Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 45.93%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 25.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Venezuela win it was 0-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Guatemala	Draw	Venezuela
45.93% ( -0.01)	28.98%	25.09% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 41.15% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.46% (

64.53% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.44% (

83.56% (

-0)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.73%

28.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.01%

63.98% (

Venezuela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.37% (

0.01)

42.63% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.02% (

0.01)

78.97% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Guatemala 45.93%

Venezuela 25.08%

Draw 28.97%

Guatemala	Draw	Venezuela
1-0 @ 15.22% 2-0 @ 9.62% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.2% 3-0 @ 4.05% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.28% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.55% Total : 45.93%	1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 12.05% 2-2 @ 3.5% Other @ 0.45% Total : 28.97%	0-1 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 5.54% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.25% 2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 1.08% Total : 25.08%