Argentina national football team
Copa America | Quarter-Finals
Jul 5, 2024 at 2am UK
NRG Stadium
Ecuador national football team

Argentina
1 - 1
Ecuador

Martinez (35', 35')
Gonzalez (77'), Gonzalez (77'), Tagliafico (81'), Tagliafico (81')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Rodriguez (90+2', 90+1')
Valencia (30'), Valencia (30'), Caicedo (75'), Caicedo (75')
Argentina win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa America clash between Argentina and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Ecuador could line up for Thursday's Copa America clash with Argentina.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Peru
Sunday, June 30 at 1am in Copa America

Ecuador

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
Monday, July 1 at 1am in Copa America

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 56.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 18.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
ArgentinaDrawEcuador
56.78% (-0.551 -0.55)24.42% (0.344 0.34)18.79% (0.206 0.21)
Both teams to score 45.65% (-0.62 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.18% (-1.009 -1.01)54.82% (1.009 1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.88% (-0.842 -0.84)76.12% (0.842 0.84)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.8% (-0.59 -0.59)19.19% (0.591 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.12% (-0.985 -0.98)50.87% (0.986 0.99)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.5% (-0.351 -0.35)43.5% (0.351 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.29% (-0.291 -0.29)79.71% (0.291 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Argentina 56.78%
    Ecuador 18.8%
    Draw 24.42%
ArgentinaDrawEcuador
1-0 @ 13.78% (0.28 0.28)
2-0 @ 11.37% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.26% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.21% (-0.141 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 56.78%
1-1 @ 11.47% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 8.35% (0.322 0.32)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 24.42%
0-1 @ 6.95% (0.203 0.2)
1-2 @ 4.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.89% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.09% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 18.8%

How you voted: Argentina vs Ecuador

Argentina
90.4%
Ecuador
9.6%
311
Head to Head
Jun 10, 2024 12am
Friendlies 1
Argentina
1-0
Ecuador
Di Maria (40')
Gonzalez (90+1')

Caicedo (11'), Gruezo (66')
> Preview
Sep 8, 2023 1am
Group Stage
Argentina
1-0
Ecuador
Messi (78')
Paredes (82')

Cifuentes (61')
> Match Report
Mar 30, 2022 12.30am
Group Stage
Ecuador
1-1
Argentina
Scaloni (67')
> Preview
Jul 4, 2021 2am
Quarter-Finals
Argentina
3-0
Ecuador
Otamendi (45+4'), Gonzalez (66')
Preciado (20'), Franco (31'), Estupinan (44')
Hincapie (90+2')
> Preview
Oct 9, 2020 1.30am
Group Stage
Argentina
1-0
Ecuador
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
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11Fulham38159145454054
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