Copa America
Jun 21, 2024 1.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Julian Alvarez 49' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 49' goal
  • Rodrigo De Paul 61' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 61' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Martinez 88' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 88' goal
  • Giovani Lo Celso 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Giovani Lo Celso 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ismael Kone 81'
  • yellowcard Ismael Kone 81'
  • yellowcard Derek Cornelius 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Derek Cornelius 90'+4'

Argentina vs Canada - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

All competitions

Canada

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 62.02%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Canada had a probability of 16.98%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Argentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Argentina.

Result

Argentina 62.02% (-0.73)
Draw 20.99% (+0.26)
Canada 16.98% (+0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.69% (+0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.33% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 43.67% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 33.94% (-0.29)
Under 3.5 66.06% (+0.29)
Over 4.5 17.48% (-0.22)
Under 4.5 82.52% (+0.22)

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5 86.47% (-0.31)
Under 0.5 13.53% (+0.31)
Over 1.5 59.41% (-0.62)
Under 1.5 40.58% (+0.62)

Canada Goals

Over 0.5 60.93% (+0.40)
Under 0.5 39.07% (-0.40)
Over 1.5 24.21% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 75.78% (-0.38)

Score analysis

Argentina 62.02%
Draw 20.99%
Canada 16.98%
Argentina
1-0 @ 10.57% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 10.57% (-0.11)
2-1 @ 9.94% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.05% (-0.16)
3-1 @ 6.63% (-0.08)
4-0 @ 3.53% (-0.12)
4-1 @ 3.32% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 3.12% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.41% (-0.07)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 62.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.94% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 5.28% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.67% (+0.06)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 20.99%
Canada
0-1 @ 4.97% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 4.67% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 2.33% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 1.46% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.46% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 16.98%