Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 62.02%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Canada had a probability of 16.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Argentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Argentina.