Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 85.06%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 4.07%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.85%) and 1-0 (10.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.07%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (1.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.