Friendlies 1

Mar 23, 2024 at 12am UK

Lincoln Financial Field

Argentina
3 - 0
El Salvador

Romero (16', 16'), Fernandez (42', 42'), Lo Celso (52', 52')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Orellana (48'), Orellana (48'), Cruz (64'), Cruz (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Argentina and El Salvador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for Saturday's international friendly against El Salvador.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

All competitions

Last Game: Brazil 0-1 Argentina
Wednesday, November 22 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

El Salvador

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: El Salvador 1-1 Bonaire
Wednesday, March 20 at 11pm in International Friendlies

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	4	7	10
2	Trinidad and Tobago	4	1	9
3	Martinique	4	-1	7
4	Guatemala	4	-2	4
5	Curacao	4	-1	3
6	El Salvador	4	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 85.06%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 4.07%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.85%) and 1-0 (10.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.07%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (1.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result
Argentina	Draw	El Salvador
85.06% ( -0.12)	10.87% ( 0.09)	4.07% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 35.29% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.11% (

-0.34)

36.89% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.93% (

-0.37)

59.07% (

0.37)

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.8% (

-0.09)

6.2% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.58% (

-0.25)

23.43% (

0.25)

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

37.62% (

-0.13)

62.38% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.18% (

-0.06)

91.82% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Argentina 85.04%

El Salvador 4.07%

Draw 10.87%

Argentina	Draw	El Salvador
2-0 @ 14.94% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 13.85% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 7-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 85.04%	1-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 1.67% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 10.87%	0-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 1.05% Total : 4.07%