Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curacao win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curacao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.