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CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Oct 14, 2023 at 12am UK
Stade Municipal Pierre-Aliker
El Salvador national football team

Martinique
1 - 0
El Salvador

Marajo (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Martinique and El Salvador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Martinique

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Martinique 1-0 Curacao
Monday, September 11 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

El Salvador

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: El Salvador 2-3 Trin. & Tob.
Monday, September 11 at 3.10am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Martinique 2-2 El Salvador

 While El Salvador will be desperate to get off to a winning start under their new manager, we think that they will have to be content with a point, having failed to win an away international since January 2022. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Martinique win with a probability of 46.26%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 26.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Martinique win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Martinique in this match.

Result
MartiniqueDrawEl Salvador
46.26% (-0.508 -0.51) 26.88% (-0.11 -0.11) 26.86% (0.623 0.62)
Both teams to score 47.89% (0.777 0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.37% (0.77 0.77)56.63% (-0.763 -0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.4% (0.617 0.62)77.6% (-0.61199999999999 -0.61)
Martinique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55% (0.10000000000001 0.1)24.45% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.11% (0.137 0.14)58.89% (-0.13 -0.13)
El Salvador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.39% (0.95200000000001 0.95)36.62% (-0.944 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.6% (0.942 0.94)73.4% (-0.935 -0.94)
Score Analysis
    Martinique 46.26%
    El Salvador 26.86%
    Draw 26.88%
MartiniqueDrawEl Salvador
1-0 @ 12.61% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.88% (-0.215 -0.22)
3-1 @ 4.19% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.17% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.063 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.48% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 46.26%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.95% (-0.266 -0.27)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.122 0.12)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 9% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.37% (0.156 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.52% (0.099 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.104 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 26.86%

How you voted: Martinique vs El Salvador

Martinique
31.3%
Draw
25.0%
El Salvador
43.8%
16
Head to Head
Jun 26, 2023 11.30pm
Group Stage
El Salvador
1-2
Martinique
Tamacas (90+5' pen.)
Burner (11'), Fortune (16')
Fabien (29'), Labonne (83')
Rivierez (48')
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