Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Costa Rica would win this match.