International Friendlies
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Lionel Messi
12'
-
Lionel Messi
12'
-
Nicolas Otamendi
21'
-
Nicolas Otamendi
21'
-
Lautaro Martinez
39'
-
Lautaro Martinez
39'
-
Lisandro Martinez
63'
-
Lisandro Martinez
63'
-
Lautaro Martinez
66'
-
Lautaro Martinez
66'
-
Lionel Messi
77'
-
Lionel Messi
77'
-
Lisandro Martinez
4'
(OG)
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Lisandro Martinez
4'
(OG)
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Marco Leonel Dominguez-Ramirez
29'
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Marco Leonel Dominguez-Ramirez
29'
Argentina vs Guatemala - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 68.25%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 12.85%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.
Result
Argentina
68.25%
▼
(-0.43)
Draw
18.9%
▲
(+0.28)
Guatemala
12.85%
▲
(+0.16)
Both Teams to Score:
49.31%
▼
(-0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.14%
▼
(-0.86)
Under 2.5
42.86%
▲
(+0.86)
Over 3.5
34.74%
▼
(-0.86)
Under 3.5
65.26%
▲
(+0.86)
Over 4.5
18.07%
▼
(-0.65)
Under 4.5
81.93%
▲
(+0.65)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5
88.48%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 0.5
11.52%
▲
(+0.36)
Over 1.5
63.59%
▼
(-0.78)
Under 1.5
36.41%
▲
(+0.78)
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5
55.73%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 0.5
44.27%
▲
(+0.30)
Over 1.5
19.65%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 1.5
80.35%
▲
(+0.25)
Score analysis
Argentina
68.24%
Draw
18.9%
Guatemala
12.85%
Argentina
2-0
@
11.9%
▲
(+0.10)
1-0 @ 11.02% ▲ (+0.26)
2-1 @ 9.7% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.58% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.10)
4-0 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.10)
4-1 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.07)
5-0 @ 2% ▼ (-0.07)
5-1 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.08)
4-2 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 68.24%
1-0 @ 11.02% ▲ (+0.26)
2-1 @ 9.7% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.58% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.10)
4-0 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.10)
4-1 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.07)
5-0 @ 2% ▼ (-0.07)
5-1 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.08)
4-2 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 68.24%
Draw
1-1
@
8.98%
▲
(+0.14)
0-0 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.20)
2-2 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 18.9%
0-0 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.20)
2-2 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 18.9%
Guatemala
0-1
@
4.16%
▲
(+0.13)
1-2 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 12.85%
1-2 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 12.85%
Head to Head
International Friendlies
-
Gonzalo Martinez
27'
-
Giovani Lo Celso
35'
-
Giovanni Simeone
44'
-
Franco Vazquez
63'
-
Nicolas Tagliafico
79'
-
Giovanni Simeone
90'
-
Kevin Norales
51'
-
Jose Contreras
58'
-
Jean Marquez
70'