Friendlies 1

Jun 15, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

Argentina
4 - 1
Guatemala

Messi (12', 12', 77', 77'), Martinez (39' pen., 39' pen., 66', 66')
Otamendi (21'), Otamendi (21'), Martinez (63'), Martinez (63')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Martinez (4' og., 4' og.)
Leonel Dominguez-Ramirez (29'), Leonel Dominguez-Ramirez (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Argentina and Guatemala, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Argentina 1-0 Ecuador
Monday, June 10 at 12am in International Friendlies

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Guatemala

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: British Virgin I. 0-3 Guatemala
Saturday, June 8 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	4	7	10
2	Trinidad and Tobago	4	1	9
3	Martinique	4	-1	7
4	Guatemala	4	-2	4
5	Curacao	4	-1	3
6	El Salvador	4	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 68.25%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 12.85%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result
Argentina	Draw	Guatemala
68.25% ( -0.43)	18.9% ( 0.27)	12.85% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 49.31% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.14% (

-0.86)

42.86% (

0.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.74% (

-0.85)

65.26% (

0.86)

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.48% (

-0.36)

11.52% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.59% (

-0.78)

36.41% (

0.78)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.73% (

-0.29)

44.27% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.65% (

-0.24)

80.35% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Argentina 68.24%

Guatemala 12.85%

Draw 18.9%

Argentina	Draw	Guatemala
2-0 @ 11.9% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 2% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.61% Total : 68.24%	1-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.87% Total : 18.9%	0-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.28% Total : 12.85%