Friendlies 1

Mar 27, 2024 at 2.50am UK

Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

Argentina
3 - 1
Costa Rica

di Maria (52', 52'), Mac Allister (56', 56'), Martinez (77', 77')
Molina (45+2'), Molina (45+2')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Ugalde (34', 34')
Faerron (71'), Faerron (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Argentina and Costa Rica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Argentina could line up in their friendly against Costa Rica in Los Angeles on Tuesday night.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Argentina 3-0 El Salvador
Saturday, March 23 at 12am in International Friendlies

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Costa Rica

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Costa Rica 3-1 Honduras
Saturday, March 23 at 11.15pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	3	2	7
2	Costa Rica	3	1	4
3	Martinique	3	-2	3
4	El Salvador	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 84.85%. A draw had a probability of 10.5% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 4.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.62%) and 4-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.02%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (1.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result
Argentina	Draw	Costa Rica
84.85% ( -0.27)	10.55% ( 0.19)	4.6% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 41.33% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.19% (

-0.64)

31.81% (

0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.66% (

-0.75)

53.34% (

0.75)

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.72% (

-0.16)

5.28% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.2% (

-0.48)

20.8% (

0.48)

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.63% (

-0.2)

56.37% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.32% (

-0.11)

88.68% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Argentina 84.85%

Costa Rica 4.6%

Draw 10.55%

Argentina	Draw	Costa Rica
2-0 @ 12.87% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 12.62% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.08) 6-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) 7-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.86% Total : 84.85%	1-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 2.12% ( 0) Other @ 0.44% Total : 10.55%	0-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.46% Total : 4.6%