International Friendlies
Argentina
Mar 27, 2024 2.50am
3
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Costa Rica
  • Nahuel Molina 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Molina 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Angel di Maria 52' goal
  • Angel di Maria 52' goal
  • Alexis Mac Allister 56' goal
  • Alexis Mac Allister 56' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 77' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 77' goal
  • goal Manfred Ugalde 34'
  • goal Manfred Ugalde 34'
  • yellowcard Fernan Faerron 71'
  • yellowcard Fernan Faerron 71'

Argentina vs Costa Rica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 23, 2024 12.00am
Argentina 3 - 0 El Salvador

Costa Rica

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Feb 3, 2024 2.00am
Costa Rica 2 - 0 El Salvador

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 84.85%. A draw had a probability of 10.5% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 4.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.62%) and 4-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.02%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (1.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result

Argentina 84.85% ▼ (-0.27)
Draw 10.55% ▲ (+0.19)
Costa Rica 4.6% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.33% ▼ (-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.19% ▼ (-0.65)
Under 2.5 31.81% ▲ (+0.64)
Over 3.5 46.66% ▼ (-0.76)
Under 3.5 53.34% ▲ (+0.76)
Over 4.5 27.74% ▼ (-0.67)
Under 4.5 72.26% ▲ (+0.67)

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5 94.72% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 0.5 5.28% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 1.5 79.2% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 1.5 20.8% ▲ (+0.49)

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5 43.63% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 0.5 56.37% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 1.5 11.32% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 88.68% ▲ (+0.12)

Score analysis

Argentina 84.85%
Draw 10.55%
Costa Rica 4.6%
Argentina
2-0 @ 12.87% ▲ (+0.18)
3-0 @ 12.62% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 9.28% ▼ (-0.08)
1-0 @ 8.75% ▲ (+0.22)
2-1 @ 7.38% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 7.24% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 5.46% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.08)
5-1 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.08)
6-0 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.02)
6-1 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.04)
7-0 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 84.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.10)
0-0 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 10.55%
Costa Rica
0-1 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 4.6%

Form Data

Argentina 3 - 0 El Salvador
Brazil 0 - 1 Argentina
Argentina 0 - 2 Uruguay
Peru 0 - 2 Argentina
Argentina 1 - 0 Paraguay
Bolivia 0 - 3 Argentina
Costa Rica 3 - 1 Honduras
Costa Rica 2 - 0 El Salvador
Panama 3 - 1 Costa Rica
Costa Rica 0 - 3 Panama
Costa Rica 1 - 4 UAE
Saudi Arabia 1 - 3 Costa Rica

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