Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Dominica had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Dominica win was 0-1 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.