Dominica national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League C
Nov 20, 2023 at 7pm UK
A.O. Shirley Recreation Ground
Turks and Caicos Islands national football team

Dominica
2 - 0
Turks & Caicos

Laville (15'), George (61')
Humphreys (41'), Williams (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Martin (58'), Howell (73')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League C clash between Dominica and Turks and Caicos.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: British Virgin I. 1-2 Dominica
Thursday, November 16 at 7pm in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Turks & Caicos 2-2 British Virgin I.
Monday, October 16 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominica win with a probability of 88.09%. A draw had a probability of 8.5% and a win for Turks and Caicos had a probability of 3.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dominica win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.95%) and 4-0 (10.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.04%), while for a Turks and Caicos win it was 0-1 (1.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominica would win this match.

Result
DominicaDrawTurks and Caicos
88.09% (0.105 0.11)8.49% (-0.097 -0.1)3.42% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Both teams to score 40.37% (0.5 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.73% (0.589 0.59)27.27% (-0.588 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.17% (0.738 0.74)47.83% (-0.737 -0.74)
Dominica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.05% (0.111 0.11)3.95% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.28% (0.35599999999999 0.36)16.71% (-0.355 -0.36)
Turks and Caicos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.03% (0.473 0.47)57.97% (-0.471 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.42% (0.256 0.26)89.58% (-0.255 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Dominica 88.07%
    Turks and Caicos 3.42%
    Draw 8.49%
DominicaDrawTurks and Caicos
3-0 @ 12.87% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 11.95% (-0.22 -0.22)
4-0 @ 10.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.4% (-0.204 -0.2)
3-1 @ 7.02% (0.035 0.04)
5-0 @ 6.72% (0.048 0.05)
2-1 @ 6.52% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 5.67% (0.077 0.08)
5-1 @ 3.67% (0.08 0.08)
6-0 @ 3.62% (0.057 0.06)
6-1 @ 1.98% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.038 0.04)
7-0 @ 1.67% (0.041 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.044 0.04)
5-2 @ 1% (0.037 0.04)
7-1 @ 0.91% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 88.07%
1-1 @ 4.04% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 2.29% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-2 @ 1.78% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 8.49%
0-1 @ 1.25% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 1.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 3.42%

Head to Head
Sep 12, 2023 9pm
League C
Turks & Caicos
0-3
Dominica
Jules Mone (18', 64'), Thomas (90+2')
Thomas (20'), Thomas (60'), Anselm (83')
rhs 2.0


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