CONCACAF Nations League
Sep 9, 2023 8.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stade Rene Gaillard
  • Troy Caesar 4' goal
  • Luka Chalwell 10' goal
  • Troy Caesar 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Luka Chalwell 51' goal
  • Jake Forbes 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kristen Howell 43'
  • goal Billy Forbes 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Makenson Cadet 74'

British Virgin Islands vs Turks and Caicos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

British Virgin Islands

All competitions

Turks and Caicos

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a British Virgin Islands win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Turks and Caicos had a probability of 38.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a British Virgin Islands win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.38%) and 2-0 (5.18%). The likeliest Turks and Caicos win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that British Virgin Islands would win this match.

Result

British Virgin Islands 38.59% (+0.38)
Draw 23.27% (-0.10)
Turks and Caicos 38.14% (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.3% (+0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.79% (+0.48)
Under 2.5 37.21% (-0.48)
Over 3.5 40.58% (+0.51)
Under 3.5 59.41% (-0.52)
Over 4.5 22.61% (+0.42)
Under 4.5 77.39% (-0.42)

British Virgin Islands Goals

Over 0.5 80.29% (+0.38)
Under 0.5 19.71% (-0.39)
Over 1.5 48.28% (+0.62)
Under 1.5 51.71% (-0.62)

Turks and Caicos Goals

Over 0.5 80.08% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 19.92% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 47.94% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 52.05% (-0.13)

Score analysis

British Virgin Islands 38.59%
Draw 23.27%
Turks and Caicos 38.14%
British Virgin Islands
2-1 @ 8.35% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 6.38% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 5.18% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.52% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.65% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.8% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.84% (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.48% (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.14% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 38.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.28% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 6.74% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.93% (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.96% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.27%
Turks and Caicos
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.06)
0-1 @ 6.33% (-0.14)
0-2 @ 5.11% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 4.46% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.63% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.8% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.46% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 38.14%