Turks and Caicos Islands national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League C
Sep 12, 2023 at 9pm UK
Stade Rene Gaillard
Dominica national football team

Turks & Caicos
0 - 3
Dominica

FT(HT: 0-1)
Jules Mone (18', 64'), Thomas (90+2')
Thomas (20'), Thomas (60'), Anselm (83')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League C clash between Turks and Caicos and Dominica.

Form, Standings, Stats

Turks and Caicos

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: British Virgin I. 3-1 Turks & Caicos
Saturday, September 9 at 8.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Dominica

All competitions
Last Game: St Lucia 3-1 Dominica
Tuesday, March 28 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominica win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Turks and Caicos had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dominica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Turks and Caicos win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominica would win this match.

Result
Turks and CaicosDrawDominica
29.56% (-0.046000000000003 -0.05)24.27% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)46.17% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 57.87% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.54% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)44.46% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.17% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)66.83% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Turks and Caicos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.8% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)28.2% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.1% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)63.9% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Dominica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.6%19.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.79%51.21%
Score Analysis
    Turks and Caicos 29.56%
    Dominica 46.17%
    Draw 24.27%
Turks and CaicosDrawDominica
2-1 @ 7.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 4.38% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.03% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.85% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 29.56%
1-1 @ 11.35%
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.47% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.27%
1-2 @ 9.31% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 8.97% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.36% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 4.02% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.22% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.09%
0-4 @ 1.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 46.17%