/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Feculog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fjamlog.png)
-
Kasey Palmer
13'
-
Kendry Paez
45'+4'
-
Alan Minda
90'+1'
-
Damion Lowe
39'
-
Michael Hector
49'
-
Michail Antonio
54'
-
Joel Latibeaudiere
80'
-
Karoy Anderson
90'+4'
Ecuador vs Jamaica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.14%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 0-1 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ecuador would win this match.
Result
Ecuador
41.34%
▲
(+0.03)
Draw
28.73%
▲
(+0.07)
Jamaica
29.92%
▼
(-0.09)
Both Teams to Score:
44.5%
▼
(-0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5
38.24%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 2.5
61.75%
▲
(+0.24)
Over 3.5
18.44%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 3.5
81.55%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 4.5
7.46%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 4.5
92.54%
▲
(+0.10)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5
70.58%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
29.41%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
34.59%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 1.5
65.4%
▲
(+0.13)
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5
63.04%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 0.5
36.95%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 1.5
26.26%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 1.5
73.74%
▲
(+0.20)
Score analysis
Ecuador
41.34%
Draw
28.72%
Jamaica
29.91%
Ecuador
1-0
@
13.3%
▲
(+0.09)
2-0 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.1% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 41.34%
2-0 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.1% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 41.34%
Draw
1-1
@
13.24%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.86% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.72%
0-0 @ 10.86% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.72%
Jamaica
0-1
@
10.81%
▲
(+0.04)
1-2 @ 6.59% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 29.91%
1-2 @ 6.59% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 29.91%