World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
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Javid George
82'
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Troy Jules
88'
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Shamar Nicholson
30'
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Kaheim Dixon
42'
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Shamar Nicholson
79'
Dominica vs Jamaica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominica win with a probability of 59.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 16.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dominica win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.83%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Jamaica would win this match.
Result
Dominica
59.27%
▼
(-0.06)
Draw
24.65%
▲
(+0.01)
Jamaica
16.07%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
40.43%
▲
(+0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5
40.83%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 2.5
59.16%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 3.5
20.4%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
79.6%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 4.5
8.57%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 4.5
91.43%
▼
(-0.03)
Dominica Goals
Over 0.5
80.08%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
19.92%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
47.94%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
52.05%
▲
(+0.01)
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5
50.48%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 0.5
49.51%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 1.5
15.68%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
84.32%
▼
(-0.07)
Score analysis
Dominica
59.26%
Draw
24.64%
Jamaica
16.07%
Dominica
1-0
@
15.91%
▼
(-0.03)
2-0 @ 12.83% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.02% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 59.26%
2-0 @ 12.83% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.02% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 59.26%
Draw
1-1
@
11.18%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.86% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 24.64%
0-0 @ 9.86% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 24.64%
Jamaica
0-1
@
6.93%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 16.07%
1-2 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 16.07%