/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Feculog.png)
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Enner Valencia
18'
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Enner Valencia
18'
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John Yeboah
25'
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John Yeboah
25'
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Jordy Caicedo
70'
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Jordy Caicedo
70'
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Carlos Gruezo
80'
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Carlos Gruezo
80'
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Moises Caicedo
86'
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Moises Caicedo
86'
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Roberto Fernandez
9'
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Roberto Fernandez
9'
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Carmelo Algaranaz
31'
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Carmelo Algaranaz
31'
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Gabriel Villamil
70'
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Gabriel Villamil
70'
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Leonel Justiniano
77'
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Leonel Justiniano
77'
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Rodrigo Ramallo
82'
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Rodrigo Ramallo
82'
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Miguel Terceros
88'
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Miguel Terceros
88'
Ecuador vs Bolivia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 74.36%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 8.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.79%) and 3-0 (11.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ecuador would win this match.
Result
Ecuador
74.36%
▼
(-0.57)
Draw
17.54%
▲
(+0.16)
Bolivia
8.1%
▲
(+0.41)
Both Teams to Score:
36.72%
▲
(+1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.78%
▲
(+0.68)
Under 2.5
50.22%
▼
(-0.68)
Over 3.5
27.83%
▲
(+0.60)
Under 3.5
72.17%
▼
(-0.60)
Over 4.5
13.19%
▲
(+0.40)
Under 4.5
86.8%
▼
(-0.40)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5
88.06%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
11.94%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
62.69%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
37.31%
▼
(-0.08)
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5
41.7%
▲
(+1.44)
Under 0.5
58.3%
▼
(-1.44)
Over 1.5
10.24%
▲
(+0.76)
Under 1.5
89.75%
▼
(-0.76)
Score analysis
Ecuador
74.34%
Draw
17.54%
Bolivia
8.1%
Ecuador
2-0
@
15.71%
▼
(-0.40)
1-0 @ 14.79% ▼ (-0.39)
3-0 @ 11.13% ▼ (-0.26)
2-1 @ 8.48% ▲ (+0.19)
3-1 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.14)
4-0 @ 5.92% ▼ (-0.13)
4-1 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.08)
5-0 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.11)
5-1 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 74.34%
1-0 @ 14.79% ▼ (-0.39)
3-0 @ 11.13% ▼ (-0.26)
2-1 @ 8.48% ▲ (+0.19)
3-1 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.14)
4-0 @ 5.92% ▼ (-0.13)
4-1 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.08)
5-0 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.11)
5-1 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 74.34%
Draw
1-1
@
7.98%
▲
(+0.16)
0-0 @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.20)
2-2 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 17.54%
0-0 @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.20)
2-2 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 17.54%
Bolivia
0-1
@
3.76%
▲
(+0.07)
1-2 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.14)
0-2 @ 1.01% ▼ (-93.89)
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 8.1%
1-2 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.14)
0-2 @ 1.01% ▼ (-93.89)
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 8.1%