/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmexlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fbollog.png)
-
Edson Alvarez
47'
-
Efrain Alvarez
47'
-
Denzell Garcia
85'
-
Denzell Garcia
85'
-
Pablo Alfonso Monroy Reyes
90'+2'
-
Pablo Alfonso Monroy Reyes
90'+2'
-
Fernando Saucedo
7'
-
Fernando Saucedo
7'
Mexico vs Bolivia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F12%2Fmexico.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 82.35%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 5.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.71%) and 1-0 (10.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.82%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (2.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.
Result
Mexico
82.35%
▼
(-0.23)
Draw
12.31%
▲
(+0.14)
Bolivia
5.34%
▲
(+0.10)
Both Teams to Score:
39.3%
▲
(+0.10)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.58%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 2.5
37.42%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 3.5
40.36%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 3.5
59.64%
▲
(+0.27)
Over 4.5
22.43%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 4.5
77.57%
▲
(+0.22)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5
93.14%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 0.5
6.86%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 1.5
74.76%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 1.5
25.24%
▲
(+0.27)
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5
42.19%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 0.5
57.81%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 1.5
10.51%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 1.5
89.49%
▼
(-0.08)
Score analysis
Mexico
82.34%
Draw
12.31%
Bolivia
5.34%
Mexico
2-0
@
14.23%
▲
(+0.02)
3-0 @ 12.71% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 10.62% ▲ (+0.07)
4-0 @ 8.52% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 7.8% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6.97% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.07)
5-1 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.03)
6-0 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 82.34%
3-0 @ 12.71% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 10.62% ▲ (+0.07)
4-0 @ 8.52% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 7.8% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6.97% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.07)
5-1 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.03)
6-0 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 82.34%
Draw
1-1
@
5.82%
▲
(+0.07)
0-0 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 12.31%
0-0 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 12.31%
Bolivia
0-1
@
2.17%
▲
(+0.04)
1-2 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 5.34%
1-2 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 5.34%