Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 82.35%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 5.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.71%) and 1-0 (10.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.82%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (2.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result
Mexico	Draw	Bolivia
82.35% ( -0.22)	12.31% ( 0.13)	5.34% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 39.3% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.58% (

-0.24)

37.42% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.36% (

-0.26)

59.64% (

0.26)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.14% (

-0.09)

6.86% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.76% (

-0.26)

25.24% (

0.26)

Bolivia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.19% (

0.15)

57.81% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.51% (

0.08)

89.49% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Mexico 82.34%

Bolivia 5.34%

Draw 12.31%

Mexico	Draw	Bolivia
2-0 @ 14.23% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 12.71% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.41% Total : 82.34%	1-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.38% Total : 12.31%	0-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.57% Total : 5.34%